Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield United prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1/42 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sheffield United to win and Over 2.5

38% chanceFair price 13/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Fleetwood Town 20%, the draw 23% and Sheffield United 57%. The bookmakers agree and make Sheffield United the favourite at 4/7.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Fleetwood Town took 6 points from their last 2 games and Sheffield United took 10 from 5. Sheffield United come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Goals

   Fleetwood Town score 2.5 goals a game and let in 0.0. Sheffield United score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Fleetwood Town games and 13 of Sheffield United games in that run.

4. 4
   The safest bet

   Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.