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Predictions › Eredivisie › Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam
EredivisieSat 12 Sept, 18:00 UTC

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam prediction

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna SittardHome
1.14 : 2.31
expected goals
Ajax AmsterdamAway
17%Fortuna
20%Draw
63%Ajax
Eagle safe pickAjax Amsterdam or Draw
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam is Ajax Amsterdam to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction
Ajax Amsterdam to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Fortuna Sittard 1.1, Ajax Amsterdam 2.3
Best bet
Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Ajax Amsterdam or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Ajax Amsterdam to win and both score
35% chanceFair price 2.881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fortuna Sittard 17%, the draw 20% and Ajax Amsterdam 63%. The bookmakers agree and make Ajax Amsterdam the favourite at 1.43.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fortuna Sittard took 10 points from their last 5 games and Ajax Amsterdam took 8 from 5. Fortuna Sittard come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fortuna Sittard won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Ajax Amsterdam won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Fortuna Sittard score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.9. Ajax Amsterdam score 1.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Fortuna Sittard games and 11 of Ajax Amsterdam games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 0 and Ajax Amsterdam won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Ajax Amsterdam 4, Fortuna Sittard 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Ajax Amsterdam or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam: Ajax Amsterdam are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fortuna Sittard host Ajax Amsterdam in the Eredivisie on Sat 12 Sept, 18:00 at Fortuna Sittard Stadion. Our prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam is Ajax Amsterdam to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.21.

Fortuna Sittard form

Fortuna Sittard have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Ajax Amsterdam form

Ajax Amsterdam have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Fortuna Sittard won 0, Ajax Amsterdam won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Ajax Amsterdam 4, Fortuna Sittard 1.

Our call

We expect Fortuna Sittard to score about 1.1 goals and Ajax Amsterdam about 2.3. That points to Ajax Amsterdam to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is Ajax Amsterdam to win and both score at 2.88.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FortunaAjax
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws39
Losses94
Goals scored3235
Goals conceded3921
Scored per game1.61.8
Conceded per game1.91.1
Home record3W 2D 4L3W 4D 3L
Away record5W 1D 5L4W 5D 1L
Clean sheets0%40%
Both teams scored85%60%
Over 2.5 goals80%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Fortuna Sittard to win17%5.846.00+2.8%
A Draw20%5.005.00-0.0%
Ajax Amsterdam to win63%1.591.43-10.3%
Over 3.5 goals48%2.091.91-8.6%
Under 3.5 goals52%1.921.83-4.4%
Fortuna Sittard +1.555%1.811.71-5.1%
Ajax Amsterdam -1.545%2.242.00-10.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.49
Over 3.5 goals45%2.21
Both teams to score62%1.62
Fortuna Sittard or Draw37%2.69
Ajax Amsterdam or Draw83%1.21
Fortuna Sittard to win and Over 2.512%8.39
Ajax Amsterdam to win and Over 2.548%2.10
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet10%10.03
Ajax Amsterdam clean sheet32%3.14

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.7%
1-18.9%
0-28.4%
1-37.4%
0-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Our prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam is Ajax Amsterdam to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Fortuna Sittard to score 1.1 goals and Ajax Amsterdam 2.3.

Will both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 17 of Fortuna Sittard last 20 games and 12 of Ajax Amsterdam last 20.

How are Fortuna Sittard playing?

Fortuna Sittard have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Ajax Amsterdam playing?

Ajax Amsterdam have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Fortuna Sittard and Ajax Amsterdam last met?

It ended Ajax Amsterdam 4, Fortuna Sittard 1. In the last 2 meetings Fortuna Sittard won 0 and Ajax Amsterdam won 2.

What is the best bet for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.