Fresno State Bulldogs vs San José State Spartans prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

San José St +4.5

74% chanceFair price -2891 unit

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Eagle bold pick

Fresno St to win

35% chanceFair price +1841 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives San José State Spartans 65% and Fresno State Bulldogs 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   San José State Spartans won 1 of their last 5 and Fresno State Bulldogs won 3 of their last 5. Fresno State Bulldogs come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   San José State Spartans won 3 of their last 5 games at home. Fresno State Bulldogs won 3 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   San José State Spartans score 24.1 points a game and let in 33.3. Fresno State Bulldogs score 22.7 and let in 19.2. Their recent games average 57.3 and 41.9 points in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 1 meeting, San José State Spartans won 0 and Fresno State Bulldogs won 1. The last one ended San José State Spartans 14, Fresno State Bulldogs 41.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   San José St +4.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. San José St +3.5 wins if San José St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.