Predictions › Serie A › Frosinone vs Como

Serie ASun 20 Sept, 13:00 UTC

Frosinone vs Como prediction

Stadio Benito Stirpe

FrosinoneHome

1.03 : 1.96

expected goals

ComoAway

19%Frosinone

23%Draw

58%Como

Eagle safe pickComo or Draw

1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Frosinone vs Como is Como to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Como or Draw at 1.23.

Prediction: Como to win
Chance: 58%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Frosinone 1.0, Como 2.0
Best bet: Como or Draw at 1.23
Both teams to score: 56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Como or Draw

81% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Como to win and Over 2.5

39% chanceFair price 2.531 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Frosinone 19%, the draw 23% and Como 58%. The bookmakers agree and make Como the favourite at 1.57.
2
Recent form
Frosinone took 6 points from their last 3 games and Como took 13 from 5. Como come in with the better run.
3
Goals
Frosinone score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.0. Como score 1.9 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Frosinone games and 11 of Como games in that run.
4
The safest bet
Como or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Frosinone vs Como: Como are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Frosinone host Como in the Serie A on Sun 20 Sept, 13:00 at Stadio Benito Stirpe. Our prediction for Frosinone vs Como is Como to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Como or Draw at 1.23.

Frosinone form

Frosinone have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 3 games, with 6 goals scored and 3 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 3 results read W, W, L, newest first.

Como form

Como have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Frosinone to score about 1.0 goals and Como about 2.0. That points to Como to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Como or Draw at 1.23. Our bold bet is Como to win and Over 2.5 at 2.53.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Frosinone	Como
Games played	3	20
Wins	2	12
Draws	0	5
Losses	1	3
Goals scored	6	39
Goals conceded	3	17
Scored per game	2.0	1.9
Conceded per game	1.0	0.8
Home record	1W 0D 1L	5W 2D 2L
Away record	1W 0D 0L	7W 3D 1L
Clean sheets	33%	40%
Both teams scored	33%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	67%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Frosinone to win	19%	5.35	5.00	-6.5%
A Draw	23%	4.38	3.75	-14.4%
Como to win	58%	1.71	1.57	-8.1%
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.73	1.59	-8.1%
Under 2.5 goals	42%	2.37	2.20	-7.3%
Frosinone +0.5	41%	2.42	2.20	-9.2%
Como -0.5	59%	1.70	1.54	-9.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.24
Over 2.5 goals	57%	1.74
Over 3.5 goals	35%	2.86
Both teams to score	56%	1.79
Frosinone or Draw	42%	2.41
Como or Draw	81%	1.23
Frosinone to win and Over 2.5	11%	8.72
Como to win and Over 2.5	39%	2.53
Frosinone clean sheet	14%	7.10
Como clean sheet	36%	2.79

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%

1-29.9%

0-29.7%

0-19.3%

1-36.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Frosinone vs Como?

Our prediction for Frosinone vs Como is Como to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Como or Draw at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Frosinone vs Como?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Frosinone to score 1.0 goals and Como 2.0.

Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Como?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of Frosinone last 3 games and 12 of Como last 20.

How are Frosinone playing?

How are Como playing?

What is the best bet for Frosinone vs Como?

Como or Draw at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.