Predictions › United Kingdom › Fulham vs Manchester United

Premier LeagueSun 20 Sept, 16:30 United Kingdom time

Fulham vs Manchester United prediction

Craven Cottage

FulhamHome

1.38 : 1.70

expected goals

Manchester UnitedAway

31%Fulham

25%Draw

44%Man United

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fulham vs Manchester United is Manchester United to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Prediction: Manchester United to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Fulham 1.4, Manchester United 1.7
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 2/9
Both teams to score: 62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 2/92 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Fulham to win

31% chancePrice 9/4+1.4% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Fulham 31%, the draw 25% and Manchester United 44%. The bookmakers agree and make Manchester United the favourite at Evens.
2
Recent form
Fulham took 6 points from their last 5 games and Manchester United took 10 from 5. Manchester United come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Fulham won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Manchester United won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Fulham score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.4. Manchester United score 2.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Fulham games and 14 of Manchester United games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Fulham won 0 and Manchester United won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Manchester United 3, Fulham 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Fulham vs Manchester United: Manchester United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fulham host Manchester United in the Premier League on Sun 20 Sept, 16:30 at Craven Cottage. Our prediction for Fulham vs Manchester United is Manchester United to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Fulham form

Fulham have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Manchester United form

Manchester United have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Fulham won 0, Manchester United won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Manchester United 3, Fulham 2.

Our call

We expect Fulham to score about 1.4 goals and Manchester United about 1.7. That points to Manchester United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9. Our bold bet is Fulham to win at 9/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Fulham	Man United
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	13
Draws	3	4
Losses	10	3
Goals scored	24	42
Goals conceded	27	24
Scored per game	1.2	2.1
Conceded per game	1.4	1.2
Home record	6W 0D 5L	9W 0D 1L
Away record	1W 3D 5L	4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets	25%	30%
Both teams scored	45%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Fulham to win	31%	9/4	9/4	+1.4%
A Draw	25%	3/1	11/4	-6.5%
Manchester United to win	44%	5/4	Evens	-11.3%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	4/6	4/7	-7.3%
Under 2.5 goals	40%	6/4	5/4	-7.0%
Fulham +0.5	53%	10/11	8/11	-7.2%
Manchester United -0.5	47%	11/10	10/11	-10.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	2/9
Over 2.5 goals	59%	4/6
Over 3.5 goals	37%	7/4
Both teams to score	62%	8/13
Fulham or Draw	56%	4/5
Manchester United or Draw	69%	4/9
Fulham to win and Over 2.5	21%	4/1
Manchester United to win and Over 2.5	31%	9/4
Fulham clean sheet	18%	9/2
Manchester United clean sheet	25%	3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%

1-29.2%

2-17.5%

0-17.2%

0-26.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Fulham vs Manchester United?

Our prediction for Fulham vs Manchester United is Manchester United to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Fulham vs Manchester United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Fulham to score 1.4 goals and Manchester United 1.7.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Manchester United?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Fulham last 20 games and 13 of Manchester United last 20.

How are Fulham playing?

How are Manchester United playing?

What happened when Fulham and Manchester United last met?

It ended Manchester United 3, Fulham 2. In the last 1 meeting Fulham won 0 and Manchester United won 1.

What is the best bet for Fulham vs Manchester United?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/9, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.