Predictions › Super Lig › Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor

Super LigSun 13 Sept, 17:00 UTC

Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor prediction

RAMS Park

GalatasarayHome

2.36 : 0.92

expected goals

KocaelisporAway

69%Galatasaray

19%Draw

12%Kocaelispor

Eagle safe pickGalatasaray draw no bet

1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor is Galatasaray to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Galatasaray draw no bet at 1.18.

Prediction: Galatasaray to win
Chance: 69%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Galatasaray 2.4, Kocaelispor 0.9
Best bet: Galatasaray draw no bet at 1.18
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Galatasaray draw no bet

85% chanceFair price 1.182 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Galatasaray to win and both score

33% chanceFair price 3.001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Galatasaray 69%, the draw 19% and Kocaelispor 12%. The bookmakers agree and make Galatasaray the favourite at 1.33.
2
Recent form
Galatasaray took 10 points from their last 5 games and Kocaelispor took 9 from 5. Galatasaray come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Galatasaray won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Kocaelispor won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Galatasaray score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Kocaelispor score 0.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Galatasaray games and 5 of Kocaelispor games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Galatasaray won 0 and Kocaelispor won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Galatasaray 1, Kocaelispor 1.
6
The safest bet
Galatasaray draw no bet has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor: Galatasaray are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Galatasaray host Kocaelispor in the Super Lig on Sun 13 Sept, 17:00 at RAMS Park. Our prediction for Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor is Galatasaray to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Galatasaray draw no bet at 1.18.

Galatasaray form

Galatasaray have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Kocaelispor form

Kocaelispor have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Galatasaray won 0, Kocaelispor won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Galatasaray 1, Kocaelispor 1.

Our call

We expect Galatasaray to score about 2.4 goals and Kocaelispor about 0.9. That points to Galatasaray to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Galatasaray draw no bet at 1.18. Our bold bet is Galatasaray to win and both score at 3.00.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Galatasaray	Kocaelispor
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	6
Draws	2	5
Losses	7	9
Goals scored	38	15
Goals conceded	31	22
Scored per game	1.9	0.8
Conceded per game	1.6	1.1
Home record	6W 2D 0L	3W 2D 4L
Away record	5W 0D 7L	3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	30%
Both teams scored	60%	30%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Galatasaray to win	69%	1.45	1.33	-8.0%
A Draw	19%	5.40	5.25	-2.7%
Kocaelispor to win	12%	8.04	7.50	-6.7%
Over 3.5 goals	41%	2.42	2.25	-7.2%
Under 3.5 goals	59%	1.70	1.57	-7.7%
Galatasaray -1.5	48%	2.07	1.87	-9.5%
Kocaelispor +1.5	52%	1.94	1.80	-7.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	84%	1.18
Over 2.5 goals	64%	1.57
Over 3.5 goals	42%	2.40
Both teams to score	55%	1.82
Galatasaray or Draw	88%	1.14
Kocaelispor or Draw	31%	3.23
Galatasaray to win and Over 2.5	50%	1.99
Kocaelispor to win and Over 2.5	8%	12.66
Galatasaray clean sheet	40%	2.51
Kocaelispor clean sheet	9%	10.63

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.5%

2-19.6%

1-18.6%

1-08.4%

3-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?

Our prediction for Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor is Galatasaray to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Galatasaray draw no bet at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect Galatasaray to score 2.4 goals and Kocaelispor 0.9.

Will both teams score in Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Galatasaray last 20 games and 6 of Kocaelispor last 20.

How are Galatasaray playing?

How are Kocaelispor playing?

What happened when Galatasaray and Kocaelispor last met?

It ended Galatasaray 1, Kocaelispor 1. In the last 2 meetings Galatasaray won 0 and Kocaelispor won 1.

What is the best bet for Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?

Galatasaray draw no bet at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.