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Predictions › J1 League › Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo
J1 LeagueSat 12 Sept, 10:00 UTC

Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo prediction

Suita City Football Stadium

Gamba OsakaHome
1.15 : 1.62
expected goals
FC TokyoAway
26%Gamba Osaka
26%Draw
48%Tokyo
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo is FC Tokyo to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
FC Tokyo to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Gamba Osaka 1.1, FC Tokyo 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

A Draw
26% chancePrice 3.85+0.2% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Gamba Osaka 26%, the draw 26% and FC Tokyo 48%. The bookmakers agree and make FC Tokyo the favourite at 1.91.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Gamba Osaka took 3 points from their last 5 games and FC Tokyo took 11 from 5. FC Tokyo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Gamba Osaka won 3 of their last 9 games at home. FC Tokyo won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Gamba Osaka score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. FC Tokyo score 1.7 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Gamba Osaka games and 12 of FC Tokyo games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo: FC Tokyo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Gamba Osaka host FC Tokyo in the J1 League on Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 at Suita City Football Stadium. Our prediction for Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo is FC Tokyo to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Gamba Osaka form

Gamba Osaka have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

FC Tokyo form

FC Tokyo have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Gamba Osaka to score about 1.1 goals and FC Tokyo about 1.6. That points to FC Tokyo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Gamba OsakaTokyo
Games played2020
Wins510
Draws96
Losses64
Goals scored3234
Goals conceded2923
Scored per game1.61.7
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record3W 3D 3L5W 1D 3L
Away record2W 6D 3L5W 5D 1L
Clean sheets15%40%
Both teams scored70%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Gamba Osaka to win26%3.813.65-4.1%
A Draw26%3.843.85+0.2%
FC Tokyo to win48%2.101.91-8.9%
Over 2.5 goals54%1.861.71-7.7%
Under 2.5 goals46%2.172.05-5.4%
Gamba Osaka +0.551%1.961.83-6.5%
FC Tokyo -0.549%2.041.87-8.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%3.31
Both teams to score56%1.80
Gamba Osaka or Draw52%1.91
FC Tokyo or Draw74%1.36
Gamba Osaka to win and Over 2.516%6.39
FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.530%3.33
Gamba Osaka clean sheet20%5.07
FC Tokyo clean sheet32%3.15

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-29.5%
0-19.5%
0-28.2%
0-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo?

Our prediction for Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo is FC Tokyo to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Gamba Osaka to score 1.1 goals and FC Tokyo 1.6.

Will both teams score in Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Gamba Osaka last 20 games and 10 of FC Tokyo last 20.

How are Gamba Osaka playing?

Gamba Osaka have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

How are FC Tokyo playing?

FC Tokyo have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.