Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Gamba Osaka 42%, the draw 28% and Vissel Kobe 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Gamba Osaka took 3 points from their last 5 games and Vissel Kobe took 12 from 5. Vissel Kobe come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Gamba Osaka won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Vissel Kobe won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

4. 4
   Goals

   Gamba Osaka score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Vissel Kobe score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Gamba Osaka games and 10 of Vissel Kobe games in that run.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 3 meetings, Gamba Osaka won 1 and Vissel Kobe won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Gamba Osaka 5, Vissel Kobe 0.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Over 1.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.