Predictions › Super Lig › Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce

Super LigMon 14 Sept, 17:00 UTC

Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce prediction

Gaziantep Stadium

Gaziantep FKHome

0.98 : 1.96

expected goals

FenerbahceAway

18%Gaziantep

23%Draw

60%Fenerbahce

Eagle safe pickFenerbahce or Draw

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce is Fenerbahce to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.22.

Prediction: Fenerbahce to win
Chance: 60%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Gaziantep FK 1.0, Fenerbahce 2.0
Best bet: Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.22
Both teams to score: 54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Fenerbahce or Draw

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.5

40% chanceFair price 2.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Gaziantep FK 18%, the draw 23% and Fenerbahce 60%. The bookmakers agree and make Fenerbahce the favourite at 1.56.
2
Recent form
Gaziantep FK took 7 points from their last 5 games and Fenerbahce took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Gaziantep FK won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Fenerbahce won 5 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Gaziantep FK score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Fenerbahce score 2.0 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Gaziantep FK games and 15 of Fenerbahce games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Gaziantep FK won 0 and Fenerbahce won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Fenerbahce 4, Gaziantep FK 1.
6
The safest bet
Fenerbahce or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce: Fenerbahce are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Gaziantep FK host Fenerbahce in the Super Lig on Mon 14 Sept, 17:00 at Gaziantep Stadium. Our prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce is Fenerbahce to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.22.

Gaziantep FK form

Gaziantep FK have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Fenerbahce form

Fenerbahce have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Gaziantep FK won 0, Fenerbahce won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Fenerbahce 4, Gaziantep FK 1.

Our call

We expect Gaziantep FK to score about 1.0 goals and Fenerbahce about 2.0. That points to Fenerbahce to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.22. Our bold bet is Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.5 at 2.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Gaziantep	Fenerbahce
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	10
Draws	5	5
Losses	10	5
Goals scored	25	40
Goals conceded	32	30
Scored per game	1.3	2.0
Conceded per game	1.6	1.5
Home record	2W 4D 4L	5W 4D 2L
Away record	3W 1D 6L	5W 1D 3L
Clean sheets	15%	20%
Both teams scored	70%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Gaziantep FK to win	18%	5.65	5.25	-7.0%
A Draw	23%	4.41	4.20	-4.7%
Fenerbahce to win	60%	1.68	1.56	-7.3%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.81	1.69	-6.6%
Under 2.5 goals	45%	2.24	2.05	-8.3%
Gaziantep FK +0.5	40%	2.51	2.30	-8.2%
Fenerbahce -0.5	60%	1.66	1.51	-9.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.25
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.77
Over 3.5 goals	34%	2.94
Both teams to score	54%	1.84
Gaziantep FK or Draw	40%	2.47
Fenerbahce or Draw	82%	1.22
Gaziantep FK to win and Over 2.5	11%	9.43
Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.5	40%	2.52
Gaziantep FK clean sheet	14%	7.11
Fenerbahce clean sheet	37%	2.67

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%

0-210.1%

1-210.0%

0-19.7%

0-36.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce?

Our prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce is Fenerbahce to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-2. We expect Gaziantep FK to score 1.0 goals and Fenerbahce 2.0.

Will both teams score in Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Gaziantep FK last 20 games and 13 of Fenerbahce last 20.

How are Gaziantep FK playing?

How are Fenerbahce playing?

What happened when Gaziantep FK and Fenerbahce last met?

It ended Fenerbahce 4, Gaziantep FK 1. In the last 2 meetings Gaziantep FK won 0 and Fenerbahce won 2.

What is the best bet for Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce?

Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.