Predictions › Super Lig › Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa

Super LigSun 13 Sept, 14:00 UTC

Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa prediction

Eryaman Stadium

GenclerbirligiHome

1.41 : 1.14

expected goals

KasimpasaAway

43%Genclerbirli

28%Draw

30%Kasimpasa

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa is Genclerbirligi to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34.

Prediction: Genclerbirligi to win
Chance: 43%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Genclerbirligi 1.4, Kasimpasa 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.34
Both teams to score: 52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.341 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Genclerbirligi 43%, the draw 28% and Kasimpasa 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Genclerbirligi the favourite at 2.25.
2
Recent form
Genclerbirligi took 10 points from their last 5 games and Kasimpasa took 9 from 5. Genclerbirligi come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Genclerbirligi won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Kasimpasa won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Genclerbirligi score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Kasimpasa score 1.2 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Genclerbirligi games and 9 of Kasimpasa games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Genclerbirligi won 1 and Kasimpasa won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Genclerbirligi 3, Kasimpasa 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa: Genclerbirligi shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Genclerbirligi host Kasimpasa in the Super Lig on Sun 13 Sept, 14:00 at Eryaman Stadium. Our prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa is Genclerbirligi to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34.

Genclerbirligi form

Genclerbirligi have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Kasimpasa form

Kasimpasa have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Genclerbirligi won 1, Kasimpasa won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Genclerbirligi 3, Kasimpasa 2.

Our call

We expect Genclerbirligi to score about 1.4 goals and Kasimpasa about 1.1. That points to Genclerbirligi to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Genclerbirli	Kasimpasa
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	6
Draws	4	7
Losses	10	7
Goals scored	18	24
Goals conceded	29	29
Scored per game	0.9	1.2
Conceded per game	1.4	1.4
Home record	4W 3D 3L	5W 3D 2L
Away record	2W 1D 7L	1W 4D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	25%
Both teams scored	40%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Genclerbirligi to win	43%	2.35	2.25	-4.2%
A Draw	28%	3.59	3.25	-9.4%
Kasimpasa to win	30%	3.38	3.10	-8.4%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	2.20	2.05	-6.8%
Under 2.5 goals	55%	1.83	1.67	-9.1%
Genclerbirligi -0.5	43%	2.35	2.15	-8.6%
Kasimpasa +0.5	57%	1.74	1.59	-8.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	73%	1.37
Over 2.5 goals	47%	2.13
Over 3.5 goals	25%	3.94
Both teams to score	52%	1.92
Genclerbirligi or Draw	70%	1.42
Kasimpasa or Draw	57%	1.74
Genclerbirligi to win and Over 2.5	25%	4.08
Kasimpasa to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.10
Genclerbirligi clean sheet	32%	3.12
Kasimpasa clean sheet	24%	4.11

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%

1-010.3%

2-18.9%

0-08.5%

0-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa?

Our prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa is Genclerbirligi to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Genclerbirligi to score 1.4 goals and Kasimpasa 1.1.

Will both teams score in Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Genclerbirligi last 20 games and 12 of Kasimpasa last 20.

How are Genclerbirligi playing?

How are Kasimpasa playing?

What happened when Genclerbirligi and Kasimpasa last met?

It ended Genclerbirligi 3, Kasimpasa 2. In the last 2 meetings Genclerbirligi won 1 and Kasimpasa won 0.

What is the best bet for Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.34, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.