Predictions › Serie A › Genoa vs Frosinone
Genoa vs Frosinone prediction
Sat 12 Sept, 16:00 Kenya time, Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa1.50 - 1.18
expected goals
FrosinoneGenoa 44%Draw 27%Frosinone 29%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Over 1.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
Genoa to win and Over 2.5
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa to win | 44% | 2.28 | 2.10 | -7.9% |
| A Draw | 27% | 3.71 | 3.25 | -12.3% |
| Frosinone to win | 29% | 3.43 | 3.35 | -2.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 | 1.87 | -6.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 | 1.91 | -5.1% |
| Genoa -0.5 | 44% | 2.28 | 2.05 | -10.1% |
| Frosinone +0.5 | 56% | 1.78 | 1.69 | -5.1% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.54 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 1.83 |
| Genoa or Draw | 71% | 1.41 |
| Frosinone or Draw | 56% | 1.78 |
| Genoa to win and Over 2.5 | 27% | 3.75 |
| Frosinone to win and Over 2.5 | 17% | 5.86 |
| Genoa clean sheet | 31% | 3.26 |
| Frosinone clean sheet | 22% | 4.49 |
Most likely scores
1-112.8%
1-09.5%
2-19.1%
2-07.7%
0-07.5%
Questions people ask
Who will win Genoa vs Frosinone?
Our model gives Genoa a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Frosinone 29%.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs Frosinone?
We expect about 2.7 goals (Genoa 1.50, Frosinone 1.18). Over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance.
Will both teams score in Genoa vs Frosinone?
Both teams to score has a 55% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 12.8% chance, followed by 1-0 and 2-1.