Georgia Bulldogs vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Arkansas +27.5

75% chanceFair price -2991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Arkansas Razorbacks 14% and Georgia Bulldogs 86%. The bookmakers agree and make Georgia Bulldogs the favourite at -901.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Arkansas Razorbacks won 1 of their last 5 and Georgia Bulldogs won 4 of their last 5. Georgia Bulldogs come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Arkansas Razorbacks won 1 of their last 6 games at home. Georgia Bulldogs won 6 of their last 6 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Arkansas Razorbacks score 28.9 points a game and let in 36.3. Georgia Bulldogs score 33.8 and let in 18.2. Their recent games average 65.2 and 51.9 points in total, and the market line is 52.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Arkansas +27.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Arkansas +3.5 wins if Arkansas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.