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Predictions › LaLiga › Getafe vs Málaga
LaLigaSun 20 Sept, 12:00 UTC

Getafe vs Málaga prediction

Estadio Coliseum

GetafeHome
1.43 : 0.67
expected goals
MálagaAway
55%Getafe
28%Draw
17%Málaga
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Getafe vs Málaga is Getafe to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Getafe to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Getafe 1.4, Málaga 0.7
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Getafe to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Getafe 55%, the draw 28% and Málaga 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Getafe took 7 points from their last 5 games and Málaga took 2 from 4. Getafe come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Getafe score 0.9 goals a game and let in 0.8. Málaga score 0.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Getafe games and 1 of Málaga games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Getafe vs Málaga: Getafe are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Getafe host Málaga in the LaLiga on Sun 20 Sept, 12:00 at Estadio Coliseum. Our prediction for Getafe vs Málaga is Getafe to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Getafe form

Getafe have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Málaga form

Málaga have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 4 games, with 1 goals scored and 7 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 2. Their last 4 results read D, L, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Getafe to score about 1.4 goals and Málaga about 0.7. That points to Getafe to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Getafe to win and Over 2.5 at 3.92.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GetafeMálaga
Games played204
Wins100
Draws22
Losses82
Goals scored181
Goals conceded167
Scored per game0.90.3
Conceded per game0.81.8
Home record6W 1D 3L0W 2D 0L
Away record4W 1D 5L0W 0D 2L
Clean sheets40%25%
Both teams scored20%25%
Over 2.5 goals20%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals63%1.59
Over 2.5 goals35%2.84
Over 3.5 goals16%6.15
Both teams to score38%2.63
Getafe or Draw83%1.20
Málaga or Draw45%2.21
Getafe to win and Over 2.526%3.92
Málaga to win and Over 2.57%15.25
Getafe clean sheet51%1.96
Málaga clean sheet24%4.20

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-016.7%
0-012.9%
2-012.5%
1-112.4%
2-18.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Getafe vs Málaga?

Our prediction for Getafe vs Málaga is Getafe to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Getafe vs Málaga?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 2-0. We expect Getafe to score 1.4 goals and Málaga 0.7.

Will both teams score in Getafe vs Málaga?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Getafe last 20 games and 1 of Málaga last 4.

How are Getafe playing?

Getafe have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Málaga playing?

Málaga have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 4 games, with 1 goals scored and 7 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 2. Their last 4 results read D, L, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Getafe vs Málaga?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.