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Predictions › Primeira Liga › Gil Vicente vs Maritimo
Primeira LigaSat 19 Sept, 14:30 UTC

Gil Vicente vs Maritimo prediction

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil VicenteHome
1.60 : 0.96
expected goals
MaritimoAway
52%Gil Vicente
26%Draw
22%Maritimo
Eagle safe pickGil Vicente or Draw
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Gil Vicente vs Maritimo is Gil Vicente to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Gil Vicente or Draw at 1.28.

Prediction
Gil Vicente to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Gil Vicente 1.6, Maritimo 1.0
Best bet
Gil Vicente or Draw at 1.28
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Gil Vicente or Draw
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Gil Vicente to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Gil Vicente 52%, the draw 26% and Maritimo 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Gil Vicente took 7 points from their last 5 games and Maritimo took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Gil Vicente score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.3. Maritimo score 1.2 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Gil Vicente games and 4 of Maritimo games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Gil Vicente or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Gil Vicente vs Maritimo: Gil Vicente are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Gil Vicente host Maritimo in the Primeira Liga on Sat 19 Sept, 14:30 at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos. Our prediction for Gil Vicente vs Maritimo is Gil Vicente to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Gil Vicente or Draw at 1.28.

Gil Vicente form

Gil Vicente have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Maritimo form

Maritimo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Gil Vicente to score about 1.6 goals and Maritimo about 1.0. That points to Gil Vicente to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Gil Vicente or Draw at 1.28. Our bold bet is Gil Vicente to win and Over 2.5 at 3.33.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Gil VicenteMaritimo
Games played205
Wins72
Draws51
Losses82
Goals scored266
Goals conceded268
Scored per game1.31.2
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record6W 1D 4L1W 1D 1L
Away record1W 4D 4L1W 0D 1L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.36
Over 2.5 goals47%2.12
Over 3.5 goals26%3.90
Both teams to score50%2.00
Gil Vicente or Draw78%1.28
Maritimo or Draw49%2.06
Gil Vicente to win and Over 2.530%3.33
Maritimo to win and Over 2.512%8.50
Gil Vicente clean sheet38%2.62
Maritimo clean sheet20%4.95

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
1-011.6%
2-09.9%
2-19.5%
0-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Gil Vicente vs Maritimo?

Our prediction for Gil Vicente vs Maritimo is Gil Vicente to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Gil Vicente or Draw at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Gil Vicente vs Maritimo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Gil Vicente to score 1.6 goals and Maritimo 1.0.

Will both teams score in Gil Vicente vs Maritimo?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Gil Vicente last 20 games and 3 of Maritimo last 5.

How are Gil Vicente playing?

Gil Vicente have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Maritimo playing?

Maritimo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Gil Vicente vs Maritimo?

Gil Vicente or Draw at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.