PredictionsArgentina Liga ProfesionalGimnasia (Mendoza) vs Deportivo Riestra
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 19 Sept, 17:30 UTC

Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Deportivo Riestra prediction

Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie

Gimnasia (Mendoza)Home
1.39 : 0.55
expected goals
Deportivo RiestraAway
57%Gimnasia (M)
29%Draw
14%Riestra
Eagle safe pickGimnasia (Mendoza) draw no bet
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Deportivo Riestra is Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Gimnasia (Mendoza) draw no bet at 1.25.

Prediction
Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Gimnasia (Mendoza) 1.4, Deportivo Riestra 0.6
Best bet
Gimnasia (Mendoza) draw no bet at 1.25
Both teams to score
32%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Gimnasia (Mendoza) draw no bet
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
19% chanceFair price 5.171 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Gimnasia (Mendoza) 57%, the draw 29% and Deportivo Riestra 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Gimnasia (Mendoza) took 10 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Riestra took 6 from 5. Gimnasia (Mendoza) come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Deportivo Riestra won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Gimnasia (Mendoza) score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.2. Deportivo Riestra score 0.6 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Gimnasia (Mendoza) games and 2 of Deportivo Riestra games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 0 and Deportivo Riestra won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Deportivo Riestra 0, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Gimnasia (Mendoza) draw no bet has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Deportivo Riestra: Gimnasia (Mendoza) are favourites

The big picture

Gimnasia (Mendoza) host Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 at Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie. Our prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Deportivo Riestra is Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Gimnasia (Mendoza) draw no bet at 1.25.

Gimnasia (Mendoza) form

Gimnasia (Mendoza) have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Deportivo Riestra form

Deportivo Riestra have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 0, Deportivo Riestra won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Riestra 0, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 0.

Our call

We expect Gimnasia (Mendoza) to score about 1.4 goals and Deportivo Riestra about 0.6. That points to Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Gimnasia (Mendoza) draw no bet at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 5.17.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Gimnasia (M)Riestra
Games played2020
Wins83
Draws510
Losses77
Goals scored2612
Goals conceded2415
Scored per game1.30.6
Conceded per game1.20.8
Home record6W 2D 2L3W 6D 2L
Away record2W 3D 5L0W 4D 5L
Clean sheets25%45%
Both teams scored55%25%
Over 2.5 goals45%10%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals58%1.71
Over 2.5 goals31%3.26
Over 3.5 goals13%7.57
Both teams to score32%3.09
Gimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw86%1.16
Deportivo Riestra or Draw43%2.33
Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win and Over 2.524%4.20
Deportivo Riestra to win and Over 2.55%21.85
Gimnasia (Mendoza) clean sheet58%1.73
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet25%4.02

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-019.3%
0-015.0%
2-013.9%
1-111.6%
2-17.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Deportivo Riestra?

Our prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Deportivo Riestra is Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Gimnasia (Mendoza) draw no bet at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Deportivo Riestra?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 2-0. We expect Gimnasia (Mendoza) to score 1.4 goals and Deportivo Riestra 0.6.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Deportivo Riestra?

Both teams to score has a 32% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Gimnasia (Mendoza) last 20 games and 5 of Deportivo Riestra last 20.

How are Gimnasia (Mendoza) playing?

Gimnasia (Mendoza) have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Deportivo Riestra playing?

Deportivo Riestra have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Gimnasia (Mendoza) and Deportivo Riestra last met?

It ended Deportivo Riestra 0, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 0. In the last 1 meeting Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 0 and Deportivo Riestra won 0.

What is the best bet for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Deportivo Riestra?

Gimnasia (Mendoza) draw no bet at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.