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Predictions › Eredivisie › Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen
EredivisieSat 12 Sept, 16:45 UTC

Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen prediction

De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead EaglesHome
1.84 : 1.48
expected goals
FC GroningenAway
46%Go Ahead Eagles
24%Draw
31%FC Groningen
Eagle value pickGo Ahead Eagles to win
2.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen is Go Ahead Eagles to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Go Ahead Eagles to win at 2.30.

Prediction
Go Ahead Eagles to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Go Ahead Eagles 1.8, FC Groningen 1.5
Best bet
Go Ahead Eagles to win at 2.30
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
★

Eagle value pick

Go Ahead Eagles to win
46% chancePrice 2.30+5.1% value2 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Go Ahead Eagles to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Go Ahead Eagles 46%, the draw 24% and FC Groningen 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Go Ahead Eagles the favourite at 2.30.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Go Ahead Eagles took 8 points from their last 5 games and FC Groningen took 7 from 5. Go Ahead Eagles come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Go Ahead Eagles won 5 of their last 10 games at home. FC Groningen won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Go Ahead Eagles score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. FC Groningen score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Go Ahead Eagles games and 15 of FC Groningen games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Go Ahead Eagles won 0 and FC Groningen won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended FC Groningen 0, Go Ahead Eagles 0.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Go Ahead Eagles to win is priced at 2.30. Our fair price is 2.19, so the bookmaker pays about 5.1% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen: Go Ahead Eagles are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Go Ahead Eagles host FC Groningen in the Eredivisie on Sat 12 Sept, 16:45 at De Adelaarshorst. Our prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen is Go Ahead Eagles to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Go Ahead Eagles to win at 2.30.

Go Ahead Eagles form

Go Ahead Eagles have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, W, newest first.

FC Groningen form

FC Groningen have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Go Ahead Eagles won 0, FC Groningen won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished FC Groningen 0, Go Ahead Eagles 0.

Our call

We expect Go Ahead Eagles to score about 1.8 goals and FC Groningen about 1.5. That points to Go Ahead Eagles to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our value bet is Go Ahead Eagles to win at 2.30. Our bold bet is Go Ahead Eagles to win and Over 2.5 at 2.98.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Go Ahead EaglesFC Groningen
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws73
Losses710
Goals scored3832
Goals conceded3235
Scored per game1.91.6
Conceded per game1.61.8
Home record5W 2D 3L4W 2D 4L
Away record1W 5D 4L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored60%75%
Over 2.5 goals65%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Go Ahead Eagles to win46%2.192.30+5.1%
A Draw24%4.213.85-8.5%
FC Groningen to win31%3.272.70-17.5%
Over 3.5 goals45%2.212.00-9.4%
Under 3.5 goals55%1.831.74-4.8%
Go Ahead Eagles -0.543%2.322.20-5.3%
FC Groningen +0.557%1.761.59-9.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.55
Over 3.5 goals42%2.36
Both teams to score66%1.53
Go Ahead Eagles or Draw69%1.44
FC Groningen or Draw54%1.84
Go Ahead Eagles to win and Over 2.533%2.99
FC Groningen to win and Over 2.522%4.58
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet23%4.39
FC Groningen clean sheet16%6.30

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-19.1%
1-27.3%
2-26.7%
2-06.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen?

Our prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen is Go Ahead Eagles to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Go Ahead Eagles to win at 2.30.

What is the score prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Go Ahead Eagles to score 1.8 goals and FC Groningen 1.5.

Will both teams score in Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Go Ahead Eagles last 20 games and 15 of FC Groningen last 20.

How are Go Ahead Eagles playing?

Go Ahead Eagles have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are FC Groningen playing?

FC Groningen have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Go Ahead Eagles and FC Groningen last met?

It ended FC Groningen 0, Go Ahead Eagles 0. In the last 2 meetings Go Ahead Eagles won 0 and FC Groningen won 0.

What is the best bet for Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen?

Go Ahead Eagles to win at 2.30, with a 46% chance. That price pays about 5.1% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.