Predictions › South Africa › Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs

South African PremiershipSun 20 Sept, 15:00 South Africa time

Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs prediction

Mbombela Stadium

Golden ArrowsHome

0.69 : 0.83

expected goals

Kaizer ChiefsAway

27%Golden Arrows

38%Draw

35%Kaizer Chiefs

Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals

1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs is a draw, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction: A draw
Chance: 38%
Most likely score: 0-0
Expected goals: Golden Arrows 0.7, Kaizer Chiefs 0.8
Best bet: Under 2.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score: 29%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0

23% chanceFair price 4.431 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Golden Arrows 27%, the draw 38% and Kaizer Chiefs 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Golden Arrows took 6 points from their last 5 games and Kaizer Chiefs took 11 from 5. Kaizer Chiefs come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Golden Arrows won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Kaizer Chiefs won 5 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Golden Arrows score 0.8 goals a game and let in 0.8. Kaizer Chiefs score 1.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Golden Arrows games and 7 of Kaizer Chiefs games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Golden Arrows won 0 and Kaizer Chiefs won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kaizer Chiefs 1, Golden Arrows 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 2.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs: a draw looks likely

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Golden Arrows host Kaizer Chiefs in the South African Premiership on Sun 20 Sept, 15:00 at Mbombela Stadium. Our prediction for Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs is a draw, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.25.

Golden Arrows form

Golden Arrows have 7 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Kaizer Chiefs form

Kaizer Chiefs have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Golden Arrows won 0, Kaizer Chiefs won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kaizer Chiefs 1, Golden Arrows 0.

Our call

We expect Golden Arrows to score about 0.7 goals and Kaizer Chiefs about 0.8. That points to a draw, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 4.43.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Golden Arrows	Kaizer Chiefs
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	10
Draws	10	5
Losses	3	5
Goals scored	17	29
Goals conceded	15	19
Scored per game	0.8	1.4
Conceded per game	0.8	0.9
Home record	3W 6D 1L	5W 1D 3L
Away record	4W 4D 2L	5W 4D 2L
Clean sheets	60%	35%
Both teams scored	35%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	30%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	46%	2.19
Over 2.5 goals	20%	5.08
Over 3.5 goals	7%	14.59
Both teams to score	29%	3.46
Golden Arrows or Draw	65%	1.54
Kaizer Chiefs or Draw	73%	1.37
Golden Arrows to win and Over 2.5	7%	13.34
Kaizer Chiefs to win and Over 2.5	10%	9.73
Golden Arrows clean sheet	44%	2.30
Kaizer Chiefs clean sheet	50%	2.00

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-022.6%

0-117.4%

1-014.3%

1-113.3%

0-27.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Our prediction for Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs is a draw, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Golden Arrows to score 0.7 goals and Kaizer Chiefs 0.8.

Will both teams score in Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Both teams to score has a 29% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Golden Arrows last 20 games and 9 of Kaizer Chiefs last 20.

How are Golden Arrows playing?

How are Kaizer Chiefs playing?

What happened when Golden Arrows and Kaizer Chiefs last met?

It ended Kaizer Chiefs 1, Golden Arrows 0. In the last 1 meeting Golden Arrows won 0 and Kaizer Chiefs won 1.

What is the best bet for Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.