Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Packers to win

68% chancePrice -2451 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Jets to win

32% chancePrice +2001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives New York Jets 32% and Green Bay Packers 68%. The bookmakers agree and make Green Bay Packers the favourite at -245.

2. 2
   Recent form

   New York Jets won 1 of their last 5 and Green Bay Packers won 2 of their last 5. Green Bay Packers come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   New York Jets won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Green Bay Packers won 5 of their last 12 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   New York Jets score 16.2 points a game and let in 27.2. Green Bay Packers score 23.8 and let in 22.9. Their recent games average 43.3 and 46.6 points in total, and the market line is 42.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Packers to win has a 68% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jets +3.5 wins if Jets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.