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Predictions › Bundesliga › Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne
BundesligaSat 19 Sept, 13:30 UTC

Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne prediction

Volksparkstadion

Hamburg SVHome
1.79 : 1.43
expected goals
FC CologneAway
46%Hamburg
24%Draw
30%Cologne
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne is Hamburg SV to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Hamburg SV to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Hamburg SV 1.8, FC Cologne 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hamburg SV to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.071 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hamburg SV 46%, the draw 24% and FC Cologne 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hamburg SV took 7 points from their last 5 games and FC Cologne took 4 from 5. Hamburg SV come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hamburg SV won 2 of their last 10 games at home. FC Cologne won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Hamburg SV score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.7. FC Cologne score 1.4 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Hamburg SV games and 16 of FC Cologne games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Hamburg SV won 0 and FC Cologne won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Hamburg SV 1, FC Cologne 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne: Hamburg SV are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hamburg SV host FC Cologne in the Bundesliga on Sat 19 Sept, 13:30 at Volksparkstadion. Our prediction for Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne is Hamburg SV to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Hamburg SV form

Hamburg SV have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

FC Cologne form

FC Cologne have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Hamburg SV won 0, FC Cologne won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Hamburg SV 1, FC Cologne 1.

Our call

We expect Hamburg SV to score about 1.8 goals and FC Cologne about 1.4. That points to Hamburg SV to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Hamburg SV to win and Over 2.5 at 3.07.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HamburgCologne
Games played2020
Wins54
Draws76
Losses810
Goals scored2329
Goals conceded3443
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.72.1
Home record2W 4D 4L4W 2D 5L
Away record3W 3D 4L0W 4D 5L
Clean sheets15%5%
Both teams scored65%90%
Over 2.5 goals55%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.61
Over 3.5 goals40%2.50
Both teams to score64%1.57
Hamburg SV or Draw70%1.43
FC Cologne or Draw54%1.84
Hamburg SV to win and Over 2.533%3.07
FC Cologne to win and Over 2.521%4.76
Hamburg SV clean sheet24%4.16
FC Cologne clean sheet17%5.98

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
2-19.2%
1-27.3%
1-06.6%
2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne?

Our prediction for Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne is Hamburg SV to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Hamburg SV to score 1.8 goals and FC Cologne 1.4.

Will both teams score in Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Hamburg SV last 20 games and 18 of FC Cologne last 20.

How are Hamburg SV playing?

Hamburg SV have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

How are FC Cologne playing?

FC Cologne have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Hamburg SV and FC Cologne last met?

It ended Hamburg SV 1, FC Cologne 1. In the last 2 meetings Hamburg SV won 0 and FC Cologne won 1.

What is the best bet for Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.