PredictionsEuropa LeagueHapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb
Europa League

Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction

Wed 16 Sept, 19:00 UTC, Giulesti Stadium

Hapoel Be'er
1.26 - 1.74
expected goals
Dinamo Zagreb
Hapoel Be'er 27%Draw 25%Dinamo Zagreb 48%

Our three picks

Safest pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units

Bold pick

Dinamo Zagreb to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.081 unit

No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.

Price check against DraftKings

Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Hapoel Be'er to win27%3.693.45-6.5%
A Draw25%4.023.85-4.3%
Dinamo Zagreb to win48%2.081.95-6.2%
Over 2.5 goals58%1.731.63-6.3%
Under 2.5 goals42%2.362.25-4.8%
Hapoel Be'er +0.552%1.921.77-8.1%
Dinamo Zagreb -0.548%2.081.87-10.2%

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.73
Over 3.5 goals35%2.83
Both teams to score60%1.67
Hapoel Be'er or Draw52%1.92
Dinamo Zagreb or Draw73%1.37
Hapoel Be'er to win and Over 2.518%5.70
Dinamo Zagreb to win and Over 2.532%3.08
Hapoel Be'er clean sheet18%5.70
Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet28%3.53

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
1-29.5%
0-18.0%
0-27.5%
2-16.9%

Questions people ask

Who will win Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Our model gives Hapoel Be'er a 27% chance, the draw 25% and Dinamo Zagreb 48%.

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb?

We expect about 3.0 goals (Hapoel Be'er 1.26, Dinamo Zagreb 1.74). Over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance according to our model.

What is the most likely score?

1-1, with a 11.6% chance, followed by 1-2 and 0-1.