Predictions › Europa League › Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb
Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction
Wed 16 Sept, 19:00 UTC, Giulesti Stadium
Hapoel Be'er1.26 - 1.74
expected goals
Dinamo ZagrebHapoel Be'er 27%Draw 25%Dinamo Zagreb 48%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Over 1.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
Dinamo Zagreb to win and Over 2.5
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Be'er to win | 27% | 3.69 | 3.45 | -6.5% |
| A Draw | 25% | 4.02 | 3.85 | -4.3% |
| Dinamo Zagreb to win | 48% | 2.08 | 1.95 | -6.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | 1.63 | -6.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | 2.25 | -4.8% |
| Hapoel Be'er +0.5 | 52% | 1.92 | 1.77 | -8.1% |
| Dinamo Zagreb -0.5 | 48% | 2.08 | 1.87 | -10.2% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 1.67 |
| Hapoel Be'er or Draw | 52% | 1.92 |
| Dinamo Zagreb or Draw | 73% | 1.37 |
| Hapoel Be'er to win and Over 2.5 | 18% | 5.70 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to win and Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.08 |
| Hapoel Be'er clean sheet | 18% | 5.70 |
| Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet | 28% | 3.53 |
Most likely scores
1-111.6%
1-29.5%
0-18.0%
0-27.5%
2-16.9%
Questions people ask
Who will win Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Our model gives Hapoel Be'er a 27% chance, the draw 25% and Dinamo Zagreb 48%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb?
We expect about 3.0 goals (Hapoel Be'er 1.26, Dinamo Zagreb 1.74). Over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Both teams to score has a 60% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 11.6% chance, followed by 1-2 and 0-1.
