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Predictions › United Kingdom › Hibernian vs Aberdeen
Scottish PremiershipSat 19 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Hibernian vs Aberdeen prediction

Easter Road

HibernianHome
1.74 : 0.79
expected goals
AberdeenAway
59%Hibernian
25%Draw
16%Aberdeen
Eagle safe pickHibernian or Draw
2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hibernian vs Aberdeen is Hibernian to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Hibernian or Draw at 2/11.

Prediction
Hibernian to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Hibernian 1.7, Aberdeen 0.8
Best bet
Hibernian or Draw at 2/11
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hibernian or Draw
84% chanceFair price 2/112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hibernian to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hibernian 59%, the draw 25% and Aberdeen 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hibernian took 6 points from their last 5 games and Aberdeen took 4 from 5. Hibernian come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hibernian won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Aberdeen won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Hibernian score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Aberdeen score 0.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Hibernian games and 8 of Aberdeen games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Hibernian won 2 and Aberdeen won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Aberdeen 2, Hibernian 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hibernian or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Hibernian vs Aberdeen: Hibernian are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hibernian host Aberdeen in the Scottish Premiership on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 at Easter Road. Our prediction for Hibernian vs Aberdeen is Hibernian to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Hibernian or Draw at 2/11.

Hibernian form

Hibernian have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Aberdeen form

Aberdeen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Hibernian won 2, Aberdeen won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Aberdeen 2, Hibernian 0.

Our call

We expect Hibernian to score about 1.7 goals and Aberdeen about 0.8. That points to Hibernian to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Hibernian or Draw at 2/11. Our bold bet is Hibernian to win and Over 2.5 at 2/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HibernianAberdeen
Games played2020
Wins84
Draws44
Losses812
Goals scored2716
Goals conceded2532
Scored per game1.40.8
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record3W 2D 5L4W 2D 4L
Away record5W 2D 3L0W 2D 8L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored60%35%
Over 2.5 goals65%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%4/11
Over 2.5 goals46%6/5
Over 3.5 goals25%3/1
Both teams to score46%6/5
Hibernian or Draw84%2/11
Aberdeen or Draw41%6/4
Hibernian to win and Over 2.534%2/1
Aberdeen to win and Over 2.58%12/1
Hibernian clean sheet46%6/5
Aberdeen clean sheet18%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.3%
2-012.1%
1-111.6%
2-19.5%
0-08.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hibernian vs Aberdeen?

Our prediction for Hibernian vs Aberdeen is Hibernian to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Hibernian or Draw at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for Hibernian vs Aberdeen?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Hibernian to score 1.7 goals and Aberdeen 0.8.

Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Aberdeen?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Hibernian last 20 games and 7 of Aberdeen last 20.

How are Hibernian playing?

Hibernian have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Aberdeen playing?

Aberdeen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Hibernian and Aberdeen last met?

It ended Aberdeen 2, Hibernian 0. In the last 3 meetings Hibernian won 2 and Aberdeen won 1.

What is the best bet for Hibernian vs Aberdeen?

Hibernian or Draw at 2/11, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.