Predictions › United Kingdom › Hibernian vs Kilmarnock

Scottish PremiershipTue 15 Sept, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock prediction

Easter Road

HibernianHome

2.05 : 1.11

expected goals

KilmarnockAway

58%Hibernian

22%Draw

19%Kilmarnock

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock is Hibernian to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Prediction: Hibernian to win
Chance: 58%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Hibernian 2.0, Kilmarnock 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1/5
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1/52 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hibernian to win and Over 2.5

41% chanceFair price 7/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Hibernian 58%, the draw 22% and Kilmarnock 19%. The bookmakers agree and make Hibernian the favourite at 1/2.
2
Recent form
Hibernian took 6 points from their last 5 games and Kilmarnock took 1 from 5. Hibernian come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Hibernian won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Kilmarnock won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Hibernian score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Kilmarnock score 1.7 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Hibernian games and 14 of Kilmarnock games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Hibernian won 2 and Kilmarnock won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Hibernian 3, Kilmarnock 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock: Hibernian are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hibernian host Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership on Tue 15 Sept, 19:45 at Easter Road. Our prediction for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock is Hibernian to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Hibernian form

Hibernian have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Kilmarnock form

Kilmarnock have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Hibernian won 2, Kilmarnock won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Hibernian 3, Kilmarnock 0.

Our call

We expect Hibernian to score about 2.0 goals and Kilmarnock about 1.1. That points to Hibernian to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5. Our bold bet is Hibernian to win and Over 2.5 at 7/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Hibernian	Kilmarnock
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	8
Draws	4	3
Losses	8	9
Goals scored	27	34
Goals conceded	25	39
Scored per game	1.4	1.7
Conceded per game	1.3	1.9
Home record	3W 2D 5L	6W 1D 4L
Away record	5W 2D 3L	2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	30%
Both teams scored	60%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Hibernian to win	58%	8/11	1/2	-13.0%
A Draw	22%	7/2	10/3	-2.6%
Kilmarnock to win	19%	4/1	9/2	+6.6%
Over 3.5 goals	41%	7/5	6/5	-10.1%
Under 3.5 goals	59%	4/6	4/7	-7.1%
Hibernian -1.5	40%	6/4	6/5	-12.5%
Kilmarnock +1.5	60%	4/6	4/7	-6.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1/5
Over 2.5 goals	61%	8/13
Over 3.5 goals	39%	8/5
Both teams to score	59%	4/6
Hibernian or Draw	81%	1/4
Kilmarnock or Draw	42%	7/5
Hibernian to win and Over 2.5	41%	7/5
Kilmarnock to win and Over 2.5	13%	7/1
Hibernian clean sheet	33%	2/1
Kilmarnock clean sheet	13%	7/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.2%

2-19.9%

2-08.9%

1-08.1%

3-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

Our prediction for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock is Hibernian to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Hibernian to score 2.0 goals and Kilmarnock 1.1.

Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Hibernian last 20 games and 10 of Kilmarnock last 20.

How are Hibernian playing?

How are Kilmarnock playing?

What happened when Hibernian and Kilmarnock last met?

It ended Hibernian 3, Kilmarnock 0. In the last 2 meetings Hibernian won 2 and Kilmarnock won 0.

What is the best bet for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/5, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.