Houston Cougars vs Texas Tech Red Raiders prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Texas Tech to win

81% chanceFair price -4202 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Texas Tech Red Raiders 81% and Houston Cougars 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Texas Tech Red Raiders won 4 of their last 5 and Houston Cougars won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Texas Tech Red Raiders won 7 of their last 8 games at home. Houston Cougars won 5 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Texas Tech Red Raiders score 35.1 points a game and let in 11.8. Houston Cougars score 29.1 and let in 25.7. Their recent games average 46.9 and 54.8 points in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 1 meeting, Texas Tech Red Raiders won 1 and Houston Cougars won 0. The last one ended Houston Cougars 11, Texas Tech Red Raiders 35.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Texas Tech to win has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Texas Tech +3.5 wins if Texas Tech win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.