PredictionsUnited StatesHouston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati
MLSSat 19 Sept, 20:30 United States time

Houston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati prediction

Shell Energy Stadium

Houston Dynamo FCHome
2.02 : 0.87
expected goals
FC CincinnatiAway
64%Houston
22%Draw
15%Cincinnati
Eagle safe pickHouston Dynamo FC or Draw
-581

Quick answer

Our prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati is Houston Dynamo FC to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Houston Dynamo FC or Draw at -581.

Prediction
Houston Dynamo FC to win
Chance
64%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Houston Dynamo FC 2.0, FC Cincinnati 0.9
Best bet
Houston Dynamo FC or Draw at -581
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Houston Dynamo FC or Draw
85% chanceFair price -5812 units

Eagle bold pick

Houston Dynamo FC to win and Over 2.5
42% chanceFair price +1401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Houston Dynamo FC 64%, the draw 22% and FC Cincinnati 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Houston Dynamo FC took 8 points from their last 5 games and FC Cincinnati took 5 from 5. Houston Dynamo FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Houston Dynamo FC won 6 of their last 9 games at home. FC Cincinnati won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Houston Dynamo FC score 1.2 goals a game and let in 0.9. FC Cincinnati score 2.4 and let in 2.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Houston Dynamo FC games and 16 of FC Cincinnati games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Houston Dynamo FC or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Houston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati: Houston Dynamo FC are favourites

The big picture

Houston Dynamo FC host FC Cincinnati in the MLS on Sat 19 Sept, 20:30 at Shell Energy Stadium. Our prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati is Houston Dynamo FC to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Houston Dynamo FC or Draw at -581.

Houston Dynamo FC form

Houston Dynamo FC have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

FC Cincinnati form

FC Cincinnati have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 54 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Houston Dynamo FC to score about 2.0 goals and FC Cincinnati about 0.9. That points to Houston Dynamo FC to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Houston Dynamo FC or Draw at -581. Our bold bet is Houston Dynamo FC to win and Over 2.5 at +140.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HoustonCincinnati
Games played2020
Wins117
Draws47
Losses56
Goals scored2447
Goals conceded1854
Scored per game1.22.4
Conceded per game0.92.7
Home record6W 2D 1L6W 2D 1L
Away record5W 2D 4L1W 5D 5L
Clean sheets55%5%
Both teams scored30%85%
Over 2.5 goals30%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%-377
Over 2.5 goals55%-124
Over 3.5 goals33%+204
Both teams to score51%-104
Houston Dynamo FC or Draw85%-580
FC Cincinnati or Draw36%+175
Houston Dynamo FC to win and Over 2.542%+140
FC Cincinnati to win and Over 2.58%+1094
Houston Dynamo FC clean sheet42%+139
FC Cincinnati clean sheet13%+657

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.3%
1-010.6%
1-110.3%
2-19.9%
3-07.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Houston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati?

Our prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati is Houston Dynamo FC to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Houston Dynamo FC or Draw at -581.

What is the score prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Houston Dynamo FC to score 2.0 goals and FC Cincinnati 0.9.

Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Houston Dynamo FC last 20 games and 17 of FC Cincinnati last 20.

How are Houston Dynamo FC playing?

Houston Dynamo FC have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

How are FC Cincinnati playing?

FC Cincinnati have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 54 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Houston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati?

Houston Dynamo FC or Draw at -581, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.