Illinois State Redbirds vs Northern Illinois Huskies prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Illinois St to win

63% chancePrice -1921 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

N Illinois to win

37% chancePrice +1601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Northern Illinois Huskies 37% and Illinois State Redbirds 63%. The bookmakers agree and make Illinois State Redbirds the favourite at -192.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Northern Illinois Huskies won 1 of their last 5 and Illinois State Redbirds won 1 of their last 2. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Scoring

   Northern Illinois Huskies score 16.1 points a game and let in 26.8. Illinois State Redbirds score 22.5 and let in 30.5. Their recent games average 42.9 and 53.0 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.

4. 4
   The safest bet

   Illinois St to win has a 63% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 11 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. N Illinois +3.5 wins if N Illinois win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.