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Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 12 Sept, 17:45 UTC

Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi prediction

Bautista Gargantini

Independiente RivadaviaHome
1.89 : 0.70
expected goals
AldosiviAway
65%Ind. Rivadavia
22%Draw
12%Aldosivi
Eagle safe pickIndependiente Rivadavia to win
1.47

Quick answer

Our prediction for Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi is Independiente Rivadavia to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Independiente Rivadavia to win at 1.47.

Prediction
Independiente Rivadavia to win
Chance
65%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Independiente Rivadavia 1.9, Aldosivi 0.7
Best bet
Independiente Rivadavia to win at 1.47
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Independiente Rivadavia to win
65% chancePrice 1.471 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Independiente Rivadavia to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Independiente Rivadavia 65%, the draw 22% and Aldosivi 12%. The bookmakers agree and make Independiente Rivadavia the favourite at 1.47.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Independiente Rivadavia took 7 points from their last 5 games and Aldosivi took 4 from 5. Independiente Rivadavia come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Independiente Rivadavia won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Aldosivi won 0 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Independiente Rivadavia score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Aldosivi score 0.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Independiente Rivadavia games and 6 of Aldosivi games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Independiente Rivadavia won 0 and Aldosivi won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Aldosivi 1, Independiente Rivadavia 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Independiente Rivadavia to win has a 65% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi: Independiente Rivadavia are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Independiente Rivadavia host Aldosivi in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 12 Sept, 17:45 at Bautista Gargantini. Our prediction for Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi is Independiente Rivadavia to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Independiente Rivadavia to win at 1.47.

Independiente Rivadavia form

Independiente Rivadavia have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Aldosivi form

Aldosivi have 1 win, 7 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Independiente Rivadavia won 0, Aldosivi won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Aldosivi 1, Independiente Rivadavia 1.

Our call

We expect Independiente Rivadavia to score about 1.9 goals and Aldosivi about 0.7. That points to Independiente Rivadavia to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Independiente Rivadavia to win at 1.47. Our bold bet is Independiente Rivadavia to win and Over 2.5 at 2.62.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Ind. RivadaviaAldosivi
Games played2020
Wins91
Draws67
Losses512
Goals scored3212
Goals conceded2327
Scored per game1.60.6
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record7W 1D 2L1W 5D 3L
Away record2W 5D 3L0W 2D 9L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored70%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Independiente Rivadavia to win65%1.541.47-4.6%
A Draw22%4.464.20-5.8%
Aldosivi to win12%8.017.00-12.6%
Over 2.5 goals46%2.162.05-5.2%
Under 2.5 goals54%1.861.71-7.9%
Independiente Rivadavia -1.540%2.532.35-7.2%
Aldosivi +1.560%1.651.53-7.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.09
Over 3.5 goals26%3.82
Both teams to score43%2.31
Independiente Rivadavia or Draw88%1.14
Aldosivi or Draw35%2.87
Independiente Rivadavia to win and Over 2.538%2.62
Aldosivi to win and Over 2.56%16.70
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet50%2.01
Aldosivi clean sheet15%6.62

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.6%
2-013.4%
1-110.5%
2-19.4%
3-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi?

Our prediction for Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi is Independiente Rivadavia to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Independiente Rivadavia to win at 1.47.

What is the score prediction for Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Independiente Rivadavia to score 1.9 goals and Aldosivi 0.7.

Will both teams score in Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Independiente Rivadavia last 20 games and 10 of Aldosivi last 20.

How are Independiente Rivadavia playing?

Independiente Rivadavia have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Aldosivi playing?

Aldosivi have 1 win, 7 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Independiente Rivadavia and Aldosivi last met?

It ended Aldosivi 1, Independiente Rivadavia 1. In the last 2 meetings Independiente Rivadavia won 0 and Aldosivi won 1.

What is the best bet for Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi?

Independiente Rivadavia to win at 1.47, with a 65% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.