Indiana Fever vs Toronto Tempo prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Fever to win

83% chancePrice -6491 unit

★

Eagle value pick

Under 189.5 points

54% chancePrice -110+3.6% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Toronto Tempo 17% and Indiana Fever 83%. The bookmakers agree and make Indiana Fever the favourite at -649.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Toronto Tempo won 1 of their last 5 and Indiana Fever won 3 of their last 5. Indiana Fever come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Toronto Tempo won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Indiana Fever won 8 of their last 12 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Toronto Tempo score 82.4 points a game and let in 95.8. Indiana Fever score 100.5 and let in 93.0. Their recent games average 178.2 and 193.6 points in total, and the market line is 189.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 2 meetings, Toronto Tempo won 0 and Indiana Fever won 2. The last one ended Toronto Tempo 95, Indiana Fever 101.

6. 6
   Where the value is

   Under 189.5 points is priced at -110. Our fair price is -119, so the bookmaker pays about 3.6% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Tempo +3.5 wins if Tempo win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.