PredictionsArgentina Liga ProfesionalInstituto (Córdoba) vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentina Liga ProfesionalTue 15 Sept, 00:15 UTC

Instituto (Córdoba) vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto prediction

Monumental Presidente Perón

Instituto (Córdoba)Home
1.72 : 0.55
expected goals
Estudiantes de Río CuartoAway
65%Instituto
24%Draw
11%Estudiantes RC
Eagle safe pickInstituto (Córdoba) draw no bet
1.16

Quick answer

Our prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Instituto (Córdoba) draw no bet at 1.16.

Prediction
Instituto (Córdoba) to win
Chance
65%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Instituto (Córdoba) 1.7, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0.6
Best bet
Instituto (Córdoba) draw no bet at 1.16
Both teams to score
35%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Instituto (Córdoba) draw no bet
86% chanceFair price 1.162 units

Eagle bold pick

Instituto (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Instituto (Córdoba) 65%, the draw 24% and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 11%. The bookmakers agree and make Instituto (Córdoba) the favourite at 1.42.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Instituto (Córdoba) took 10 points from their last 5 games and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto took 2 from 5. Instituto (Córdoba) come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Instituto (Córdoba) won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Instituto (Córdoba) score 1.1 goals a game and let in 0.8. Estudiantes de Río Cuarto score 0.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Instituto (Córdoba) games and 5 of Estudiantes de Río Cuarto games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Instituto (Córdoba) won 1 and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0, Instituto (Córdoba) 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Instituto (Córdoba) draw no bet has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Instituto (Córdoba) vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: Instituto (Córdoba) are favourites

The big picture

Instituto (Córdoba) host Estudiantes de Río Cuarto in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Tue 15 Sept, 00:15 at Monumental Presidente Perón. Our prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Instituto (Córdoba) draw no bet at 1.16.

Instituto (Córdoba) form

Instituto (Córdoba) have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto form

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto have 2 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 7 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Instituto (Córdoba) won 1, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0, Instituto (Córdoba) 2.

Our call

We expect Instituto (Córdoba) to score about 1.7 goals and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto about 0.6. That points to Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Instituto (Córdoba) draw no bet at 1.16. Our bold bet is Instituto (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.5 at 3.05.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

InstitutoEstudiantes RC
Games played2020
Wins112
Draws34
Losses614
Goals scored227
Goals conceded1628
Scored per game1.10.3
Conceded per game0.81.4
Home record7W 0D 2L2W 2D 7L
Away record4W 3D 4L0W 2D 7L
Clean sheets45%25%
Both teams scored35%20%
Over 2.5 goals25%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Instituto (Córdoba) to win65%1.531.42-7.3%
A Draw24%4.194.00-4.5%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win11%9.348.00-14.3%
Over 2.5 goals40%2.482.25-9.4%
Under 2.5 goals60%1.671.54-7.9%
Instituto (Córdoba) -1.540%2.512.25-10.5%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto +1.560%1.661.53-8.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.50
Over 2.5 goals39%2.54
Over 3.5 goals19%5.19
Both teams to score35%2.85
Instituto (Córdoba) or Draw89%1.12
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or Draw35%2.89
Instituto (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.533%3.05
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win and Over 2.54%24.65
Instituto (Córdoba) clean sheet58%1.72
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto clean sheet18%5.56

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-017.3%
2-015.3%
0-011.0%
1-110.3%
3-08.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Instituto (Córdoba) vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?

Our prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Instituto (Córdoba) draw no bet at 1.16.

What is the score prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 0-0. We expect Instituto (Córdoba) to score 1.7 goals and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0.6.

Will both teams score in Instituto (Córdoba) vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?

Both teams to score has a 35% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Instituto (Córdoba) last 20 games and 4 of Estudiantes de Río Cuarto last 20.

How are Instituto (Córdoba) playing?

Instituto (Córdoba) have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Estudiantes de Río Cuarto playing?

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto have 2 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 7 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Instituto (Córdoba) and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto last met?

It ended Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0, Instituto (Córdoba) 2. In the last 1 meeting Instituto (Córdoba) won 1 and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won 0.

What is the best bet for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?

Instituto (Córdoba) draw no bet at 1.16, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.