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Predictions › United States › Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC
MLSSat 12 Sept, 19:30 United States time

Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC prediction

Nu Stadium

Inter Miami CFHome
1.94 : 1.47
expected goals
Nashville SCAway
48%Miami
23%Draw
29%Nashville
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-613

Quick answer

Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -613.

Prediction
Inter Miami CF to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Inter Miami CF 1.9, Nashville SC 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -613
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price -6132 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price +1781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Inter Miami CF 48%, the draw 23% and Nashville SC 29%. The bookmakers agree and make Inter Miami CF the favourite at -105.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Inter Miami CF took 6 points from their last 5 games and Nashville SC took 10 from 5. Nashville SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Inter Miami CF won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Nashville SC won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Inter Miami CF score 2.6 goals a game and let in 1.9. Nashville SC score 2.0 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Inter Miami CF games and 12 of Nashville SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Inter Miami CF won 3 and Nashville SC won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Nashville SC 4, Inter Miami CF 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC: Inter Miami CF are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Inter Miami CF host Nashville SC in the MLS on Sat 12 Sept, 19:30 at Nu Stadium. Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -613.

Inter Miami CF form

Inter Miami CF have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Nashville SC form

Nashville SC have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Inter Miami CF won 3, Nashville SC won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Nashville SC 4, Inter Miami CF 1.

Our call

We expect Inter Miami CF to score about 1.9 goals and Nashville SC about 1.5. That points to Inter Miami CF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -613. Our bold bet is Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.5 at +178.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MiamiNashville
Games played2020
Wins1013
Draws74
Losses33
Goals scored5340
Goals conceded3817
Scored per game2.62.0
Conceded per game1.90.8
Home record4W 5D 2L9W 1D 0L
Away record6W 2D 1L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets15%45%
Both teams scored85%45%
Over 2.5 goals75%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Inter Miami CF to win48%+108-105-6.4%
A Draw23%+332+300-7.4%
Nashville SC to win29%+246+220-7.6%
Over 3.5 goals47%+112-105-7.9%
Under 3.5 goals53%-112-120-3.2%
Inter Miami CF -0.548%+107-110-7.7%
Nashville SC +0.552%-107-125-7.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%-613
Over 2.5 goals66%-196
Over 3.5 goals44%+126
Both teams to score67%-199
Inter Miami CF or Draw71%-246
Nashville SC or Draw52%-108
Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.536%+178
Nashville SC to win and Over 2.521%+377
Inter Miami CF clean sheet23%+336
Nashville SC clean sheet14%+593

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.0%
2-19.1%
1-26.9%
2-26.7%
2-06.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC?

Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -613.

What is the score prediction for Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Inter Miami CF to score 1.9 goals and Nashville SC 1.5.

Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 17 of Inter Miami CF last 20 games and 9 of Nashville SC last 20.

How are Inter Miami CF playing?

Inter Miami CF have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Nashville SC playing?

Nashville SC have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Inter Miami CF and Nashville SC last met?

It ended Nashville SC 4, Inter Miami CF 1. In the last 5 meetings Inter Miami CF won 3 and Nashville SC won 2.

What is the best bet for Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC?

Over 1.5 goals at -613, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.