Iowa State Cyclones vs Iowa Hawkeyes prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Iowa to win

82% chancePrice -5751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Iowa Hawkeyes 82% and Iowa State Cyclones 18%. The bookmakers agree and make Iowa Hawkeyes the favourite at -575.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Iowa Hawkeyes won 4 of their last 5 and Iowa State Cyclones won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Iowa Hawkeyes won 5 of their last 7 games at home. Iowa State Cyclones won 3 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Iowa Hawkeyes score 31.2 points a game and let in 15.5. Iowa State Cyclones score 27.2 and let in 21.1. Their recent games average 46.7 and 48.3 points in total, and the market line is 41.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Iowa to win has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Iowa +3.5 wins if Iowa win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.