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Predictions › United Kingdom › Ipswich Town vs Arsenal
Carabao CupTue 15 Sept, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Ipswich Town vs Arsenal prediction

Portman Road

Ipswich TownHome
0.91 : 2.13
expected goals
ArsenalAway
14%Ipswich
21%Draw
65%Arsenal
Eagle safe pickArsenal or Draw
1/6

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ipswich Town vs Arsenal is Arsenal to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Arsenal or Draw at 1/6.

Prediction
Arsenal to win
Chance
65%
Most likely score
0-2
Expected goals
Ipswich Town 0.9, Arsenal 2.1
Best bet
Arsenal or Draw at 1/6
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Arsenal or Draw
86% chanceFair price 1/62 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Arsenal to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 5/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ipswich Town 14%, the draw 21% and Arsenal 65%. The bookmakers agree and make Arsenal the favourite at 2/5.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ipswich Town took 9 points from their last 5 games and Arsenal took 13 from 5. Arsenal come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ipswich Town won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Arsenal won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Ipswich Town score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Arsenal score 1.3 and let in 0.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Ipswich Town games and 6 of Arsenal games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Arsenal or Draw has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Ipswich Town vs Arsenal: Arsenal are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Ipswich Town host Arsenal in the Carabao Cup on Tue 15 Sept, 20:00 at Portman Road. Our prediction for Ipswich Town vs Arsenal is Arsenal to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Arsenal or Draw at 1/6.

Ipswich Town form

Ipswich Town have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Arsenal form

Arsenal have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ipswich Town to score about 0.9 goals and Arsenal about 2.1. That points to Arsenal to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Arsenal or Draw at 1/6. Our bold bet is Arsenal to win and Over 2.5 at 5/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

IpswichArsenal
Games played2020
Wins1013
Draws64
Losses43
Goals scored3626
Goals conceded2711
Scored per game1.81.3
Conceded per game1.40.6
Home record6W 3D 1L8W 1D 2L
Away record4W 3D 3L5W 3D 1L
Clean sheets35%60%
Both teams scored55%35%
Over 2.5 goals55%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Ipswich Town to win14%6/111/2-6.9%
A Draw21%4/17/2-6.8%
Arsenal to win65%8/152/5-9.0%
Over 2.5 goals58%8/118/13-6.2%
Under 2.5 goals42%7/55/4-6.4%
Ipswich Town +1.556%4/54/6-6.5%
Arsenal -1.544%5/421/20-10.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%2/9
Over 2.5 goals59%8/11
Over 3.5 goals36%7/4
Both teams to score53%10/11
Ipswich Town or Draw35%15/8
Arsenal or Draw86%1/6
Ipswich Town to win and Over 2.59%11/1
Arsenal to win and Over 2.544%5/4
Ipswich Town clean sheet12%15/2
Arsenal clean sheet40%6/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-210.9%
1-29.9%
1-19.8%
0-19.7%
0-37.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?

Our prediction for Ipswich Town vs Arsenal is Arsenal to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Arsenal or Draw at 1/6.

What is the score prediction for Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 1-1. We expect Ipswich Town to score 0.9 goals and Arsenal 2.1.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Ipswich Town last 20 games and 7 of Arsenal last 20.

How are Ipswich Town playing?

Ipswich Town have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Arsenal playing?

Arsenal have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?

Arsenal or Draw at 1/6, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.