Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 36.5 points

72% chanceFair price -2601 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Jaguars to win

42% chancePrice +1301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Denver Broncos 58% and Jacksonville Jaguars 42%. The bookmakers agree and make Denver Broncos the favourite at -155.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Denver Broncos won 3 of their last 5 and Jacksonville Jaguars won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Denver Broncos won 9 of their last 12 games at home. Jacksonville Jaguars won 7 of their last 9 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Denver Broncos score 23.4 points a game and let in 17.8. Jacksonville Jaguars score 26.6 and let in 20.4. Their recent games average 41.1 and 47.0 points in total, and the market line is 43.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 1 meeting, Denver Broncos won 0 and Jacksonville Jaguars won 1. The last one ended Denver Broncos 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 34.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Over 36.5 points has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Broncos +3.5 wins if Broncos win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.