Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Ohio Bobcats prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Ohio +7.5

75% chanceFair price -2941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Ohio Bobcats 55% and Jacksonville State Gamecocks 45%. The bookmakers agree and make Ohio Bobcats the favourite at -130.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Ohio Bobcats won 3 of their last 5 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Ohio Bobcats won 6 of their last 6 games at home. Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Ohio Bobcats score 27.8 points a game and let in 24.2. Jacksonville State Gamecocks score 29.0 and let in 25.1. Their recent games average 52.0 and 54.1 points in total, and the market line is 49.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Ohio +7.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ohio +3.5 wins if Ohio win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.