James Madison Dukes vs San Diego State Aztecs prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 45.5 points

74% chanceFair price -2821 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

James Madison to win

36% chanceFair price +1751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives San Diego State Aztecs 64% and James Madison Dukes 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   San Diego State Aztecs won 3 of their last 5 and James Madison Dukes won 4 of their last 5. James Madison Dukes come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   San Diego State Aztecs won 6 of their last 7 games at home. James Madison Dukes won 5 of their last 6 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   San Diego State Aztecs score 28.4 points a game and let in 15.3. James Madison Dukes score 36.9 and let in 17.8. Their recent games average 43.8 and 54.8 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Over 45.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. San Diego St +3.5 wins if San Diego St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.