Predictions › Serie A › Juventus vs Atalanta

Serie ASun 20 Sept, 16:00 UTC

Juventus vs Atalanta prediction

Allianz Stadium

JuventusHome

1.76 : 1.00

expected goals

AtalantaAway

54%Juventus

25%Draw

21%Atalanta

Eagle safe pickJuventus or Draw

1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Juventus vs Atalanta is Juventus to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.26.

Prediction: Juventus to win
Chance: 54%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Juventus 1.8, Atalanta 1.0
Best bet: Juventus or Draw at 1.26
Both teams to score: 53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Juventus or Draw

79% chanceFair price 1.262 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Juventus to win and Over 2.5

34% chanceFair price 2.911 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Juventus 54%, the draw 25% and Atalanta 21%. The bookmakers agree and make Juventus the favourite at 1.59.
2
Recent form
Juventus took 8 points from their last 5 games and Atalanta took 7 from 5. Juventus come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Juventus won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Atalanta won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Juventus score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Atalanta score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Juventus games and 11 of Atalanta games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Juventus won 1 and Atalanta won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Atalanta 0, Juventus 1.
6
The safest bet
Juventus or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Juventus vs Atalanta: Juventus are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Juventus host Atalanta in the Serie A on Sun 20 Sept, 16:00 at Allianz Stadium. Our prediction for Juventus vs Atalanta is Juventus to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.26.

Juventus form

Juventus have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Atalanta form

Atalanta have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Juventus won 1, Atalanta won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Atalanta 0, Juventus 1.

Our call

We expect Juventus to score about 1.8 goals and Atalanta about 1.0. That points to Juventus to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is Juventus to win and Over 2.5 at 2.91.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Juventus	Atalanta
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	7
Draws	7	5
Losses	4	8
Goals scored	31	27
Goals conceded	24	31
Scored per game	1.6	1.4
Conceded per game	1.2	1.6
Home record	5W 4D 2L	5W 2D 3L
Away record	4W 3D 2L	2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	45%	20%
Both teams scored	45%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	35%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Juventus to win	54%	1.84	1.59	-13.5%
A Draw	25%	4.04	3.85	-4.7%
Atalanta to win	21%	4.82	4.60	-4.5%
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.85	1.69	-8.7%
Under 2.5 goals	46%	2.18	2.05	-5.8%
Juventus -0.5	57%	1.76	1.57	-10.8%
Atalanta +0.5	43%	2.31	2.15	-7.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	77%	1.30
Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	30%	3.33
Both teams to score	53%	1.88
Juventus or Draw	79%	1.26
Atalanta or Draw	46%	2.20
Juventus to win and Over 2.5	34%	2.91
Atalanta to win and Over 2.5	12%	8.38
Juventus clean sheet	37%	2.73
Atalanta clean sheet	17%	5.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%

1-010.4%

2-19.8%

2-09.8%

0-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Juventus vs Atalanta?

Our prediction for Juventus vs Atalanta is Juventus to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Juventus vs Atalanta?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Juventus to score 1.8 goals and Atalanta 1.0.

Will both teams score in Juventus vs Atalanta?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Juventus last 20 games and 13 of Atalanta last 20.

How are Juventus playing?

How are Atalanta playing?

What happened when Juventus and Atalanta last met?

It ended Atalanta 0, Juventus 1. In the last 2 meetings Juventus won 1 and Atalanta won 0.

What is the best bet for Juventus vs Atalanta?

Juventus or Draw at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.