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Predictions › Europa League › Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen
Europa LeagueThu 17 Sept, 19:00 UTC

Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen prediction

Allianz Stadium

JuventusHome
2.27 : 0.99
expected goals
NEC NijmegenAway
66%Juventus
20%Draw
15%NEC
Eagle safe pickJuventus or Draw
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen is Juventus to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.17.

Prediction
Juventus to win
Chance
66%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Juventus 2.3, NEC Nijmegen 1.0
Best bet
Juventus or Draw at 1.17
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Juventus or Draw
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Juventus to win and both score
33% chanceFair price 3.041 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Juventus 66%, the draw 20% and NEC Nijmegen 15%. The bookmakers agree and make Juventus the favourite at 1.26.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Juventus took 8 points from their last 5 games and NEC Nijmegen took 7 from 5. Juventus come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Juventus won 5 of their last 11 games at home. NEC Nijmegen won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Juventus score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. NEC Nijmegen score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Juventus games and 14 of NEC Nijmegen games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Juventus or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen: Juventus are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Juventus host NEC Nijmegen in the Europa League on Thu 17 Sept, 19:00 at Allianz Stadium. Our prediction for Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen is Juventus to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.17.

Juventus form

Juventus have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, L, newest first.

NEC Nijmegen form

NEC Nijmegen have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Juventus to score about 2.3 goals and NEC Nijmegen about 1.0. That points to Juventus to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.17. Our bold bet is Juventus to win and both score at 3.04.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JuventusNEC
Games played2020
Wins98
Draws77
Losses45
Goals scored3139
Goals conceded2429
Scored per game1.61.9
Conceded per game1.21.4
Home record5W 4D 2L3W 4D 4L
Away record4W 3D 2L5W 3D 1L
Clean sheets45%10%
Both teams scored45%90%
Over 2.5 goals35%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Juventus to win66%1.521.26-17.1%
A Draw20%5.066.00+18.6%
NEC Nijmegen to win15%6.8310.50+53.7%
Over 3.5 goals43%2.332.15-7.7%
Under 3.5 goals57%1.751.67-4.8%
Juventus -1.552%1.941.67-14.0%
NEC Nijmegen +1.548%2.062.05-0.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.58
Over 3.5 goals41%2.43
Both teams to score57%1.76
Juventus or Draw85%1.17
NEC Nijmegen or Draw34%2.91
Juventus to win and Over 2.548%2.10
NEC Nijmegen to win and Over 2.59%10.56
Juventus clean sheet37%2.70
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet10%9.68

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-09.9%
2-19.8%
1-19.1%
1-08.2%
3-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our prediction for Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen is Juventus to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect Juventus to score 2.3 goals and NEC Nijmegen 1.0.

Will both teams score in Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Juventus last 20 games and 18 of NEC Nijmegen last 20.

How are Juventus playing?

Juventus have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are NEC Nijmegen playing?

NEC Nijmegen have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen?

Juventus or Draw at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.