Predictions › Belgian Pro League › KAA Gent vs Standard Liege

Belgian Pro LeagueFri 18 Sept, 18:45 UTC

KAA Gent vs Standard Liege prediction

Ghelamco Arena

KAA GentHome

1.18 : 1.19

expected goals

Standard LiegeAway

35%KAA Gent

29%Draw

36%Standard Liege

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for KAA Gent vs Standard Liege is Standard Liege to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction: Standard Liege to win
Chance: 36%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: KAA Gent 1.2, Standard Liege 1.2
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score: 49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.272 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.191 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives KAA Gent 35%, the draw 29% and Standard Liege 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
KAA Gent took 15 points from their last 5 games and Standard Liege took 11 from 5. KAA Gent come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
KAA Gent won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Standard Liege won 7 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
KAA Gent score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Standard Liege score 1.6 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of KAA Gent games and 11 of Standard Liege games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, KAA Gent won 2 and Standard Liege won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Standard Liege 0, KAA Gent 4.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

KAA Gent vs Standard Liege: Standard Liege shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

KAA Gent host Standard Liege in the Belgian Pro League on Fri 18 Sept, 18:45 at Ghelamco Arena. Our prediction for KAA Gent vs Standard Liege is Standard Liege to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

KAA Gent form

KAA Gent have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Standard Liege form

Standard Liege have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. KAA Gent won 2, Standard Liege won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Standard Liege 0, KAA Gent 4.

Our call

We expect KAA Gent to score about 1.2 goals and Standard Liege about 1.2. That points to Standard Liege to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.19.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	KAA Gent	Standard Liege
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	10
Draws	7	7
Losses	5	3
Goals scored	23	33
Goals conceded	22	19
Scored per game	1.1	1.6
Conceded per game	1.1	0.9
Home record	5W 5D 1L	3W 4D 3L
Away record	3W 2D 4L	7W 3D 0L
Clean sheets	35%	35%
Both teams scored	45%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	69%	1.44
Over 2.5 goals	42%	2.36
Over 3.5 goals	22%	4.64
Both teams to score	49%	2.04
KAA Gent or Draw	64%	1.55
Standard Liege or Draw	65%	1.54
KAA Gent to win and Over 2.5	18%	5.49
Standard Liege to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.35
KAA Gent clean sheet	30%	3.30
Standard Liege clean sheet	31%	3.25

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%

0-110.3%

1-010.2%

0-010.1%

1-27.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win KAA Gent vs Standard Liege?

Our prediction for KAA Gent vs Standard Liege is Standard Liege to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for KAA Gent vs Standard Liege?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect KAA Gent to score 1.2 goals and Standard Liege 1.2.

Will both teams score in KAA Gent vs Standard Liege?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of KAA Gent last 20 games and 12 of Standard Liege last 20.

How are KAA Gent playing?

How are Standard Liege playing?

What happened when KAA Gent and Standard Liege last met?

It ended Standard Liege 0, KAA Gent 4. In the last 2 meetings KAA Gent won 2 and Standard Liege won 0.

What is the best bet for KAA Gent vs Standard Liege?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.