PredictionsJ1 LeagueKawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers
J1 LeagueSat 19 Sept, 09:00 UTC

Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers prediction

Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu

Kawasaki FrontaleHome
1.84 : 2.04
expected goals
Kashima AntlersAway
35%Kawasaki
22%Draw
43%Kashima
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers is Kashima Antlers to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Prediction
Kashima Antlers to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kawasaki Frontale 1.8, Kashima Antlers 2.0
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.35
Both teams to score
74%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit

Eagle bold pick

Kashima Antlers to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kawasaki Frontale 35%, the draw 22% and Kashima Antlers 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kawasaki Frontale took 8 points from their last 5 games and Kashima Antlers took 6 from 5. Kawasaki Frontale come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kawasaki Frontale won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Kashima Antlers won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kawasaki Frontale score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Kashima Antlers score 1.6 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Kawasaki Frontale games and 9 of Kashima Antlers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Kawasaki Frontale won 0 and Kashima Antlers won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kawasaki Frontale 0, Kashima Antlers 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers: Kashima Antlers shade it

The big picture

Kawasaki Frontale host Kashima Antlers in the J1 League on Sat 19 Sept, 09:00 at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu. Our prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers is Kashima Antlers to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Kawasaki Frontale form

Kawasaki Frontale have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Kashima Antlers form

Kashima Antlers have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Kawasaki Frontale won 0, Kashima Antlers won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kawasaki Frontale 0, Kashima Antlers 2.

Our call

We expect Kawasaki Frontale to score about 1.8 goals and Kashima Antlers about 2.0. That points to Kashima Antlers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35. Our bold bet is Kashima Antlers to win and Over 2.5 at 2.86.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KawasakiKashima
Games played2020
Wins712
Draws53
Losses85
Goals scored2632
Goals conceded3124
Scored per game1.31.6
Conceded per game1.61.2
Home record5W 2D 3L7W 1D 1L
Away record2W 3D 5L5W 2D 4L
Clean sheets5%40%
Both teams scored65%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.35
Over 3.5 goals54%1.85
Both teams to score74%1.36
Kawasaki Frontale or Draw57%1.75
Kashima Antlers or Draw65%1.54
Kawasaki Frontale to win and Over 2.528%3.54
Kashima Antlers to win and Over 2.535%2.86
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet13%7.68
Kashima Antlers clean sheet16%6.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.2%
1-27.9%
2-27.3%
2-17.1%
1-35.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers?

Our prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers is Kashima Antlers to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-2. We expect Kawasaki Frontale to score 1.8 goals and Kashima Antlers 2.0.

Will both teams score in Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers?

Both teams to score has a 74% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Kawasaki Frontale last 20 games and 10 of Kashima Antlers last 20.

How are Kawasaki Frontale playing?

Kawasaki Frontale have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Kashima Antlers playing?

Kashima Antlers have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Kawasaki Frontale and Kashima Antlers last met?

It ended Kawasaki Frontale 0, Kashima Antlers 2. In the last 2 meetings Kawasaki Frontale won 0 and Kashima Antlers won 2.

What is the best bet for Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.