Kennesaw State Owls vs Tennessee Volunteers prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Tennessee to win

75% chanceFair price -3042 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Tennessee Volunteers 75% and Kennesaw State Owls 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Tennessee Volunteers won 3 of their last 5 and Kennesaw State Owls won 4 of their last 5. Kennesaw State Owls come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Tennessee Volunteers won 4 of their last 7 games at home. Kennesaw State Owls won 4 of their last 6 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Tennessee Volunteers score 38.0 points a game and let in 28.4. Kennesaw State Owls score 31.0 and let in 22.4. Their recent games average 66.4 and 53.4 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Tennessee to win has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Tennessee +3.5 wins if Tennessee win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.