Kentucky Wildcats vs Texas A&M Aggies prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Texas A&M -9.5

74% chanceFair price -2861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Texas A&M Aggies 90% and Kentucky Wildcats 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Texas A&M Aggies won 3 of their last 5 and Kentucky Wildcats won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Texas A&M Aggies won 6 of their last 7 games at home. Kentucky Wildcats won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Texas A&M Aggies score 33.6 points a game and let in 18.9. Kentucky Wildcats score 24.9 and let in 25.8. Their recent games average 52.5 and 50.7 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Texas A&M -9.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Texas A&M +3.5 wins if Texas A&M win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.