PredictionsSuper LigKocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK
Super LigSat 19 Sept, 14:00 UTC

Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK prediction

Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu

KocaelisporHome
1.26 : 0.93
expected goals
Gaziantep FKAway
43%Kocaelispor
30%Draw
27%Gaziantep
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK is Kocaelispor to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Kocaelispor to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kocaelispor 1.3, Gaziantep FK 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.191 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kocaelispor 43%, the draw 30% and Gaziantep FK 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kocaelispor took 9 points from their last 5 games and Gaziantep FK took 7 from 5. Kocaelispor come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kocaelispor won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Gaziantep FK won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kocaelispor score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.1. Gaziantep FK score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Kocaelispor games and 13 of Gaziantep FK games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Kocaelispor won 1 and Gaziantep FK won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kocaelispor 3, Gaziantep FK 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK: Kocaelispor shade it

The big picture

Kocaelispor host Gaziantep FK in the Super Lig on Sat 19 Sept, 14:00 at Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu. Our prediction for Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK is Kocaelispor to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Kocaelispor form

Kocaelispor have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Gaziantep FK form

Gaziantep FK have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Kocaelispor won 1, Gaziantep FK won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kocaelispor 3, Gaziantep FK 0.

Our call

We expect Kocaelispor to score about 1.3 goals and Gaziantep FK about 0.9. That points to Kocaelispor to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.19.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KocaelisporGaziantep
Games played2020
Wins65
Draws55
Losses910
Goals scored1525
Goals conceded2232
Scored per game0.81.3
Conceded per game1.11.6
Home record3W 2D 4L2W 4D 4L
Away record3W 3D 5L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored30%70%
Over 2.5 goals25%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.54
Over 2.5 goals37%2.67
Over 3.5 goals18%5.61
Both teams to score44%2.27
Kocaelispor or Draw73%1.36
Gaziantep FK or Draw57%1.76
Kocaelispor to win and Over 2.521%4.79
Gaziantep FK to win and Over 2.512%8.23
Kocaelispor clean sheet39%2.54
Gaziantep FK clean sheet28%3.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
1-013.3%
0-012.0%
0-19.7%
2-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?

Our prediction for Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK is Kocaelispor to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Kocaelispor to score 1.3 goals and Gaziantep FK 0.9.

Will both teams score in Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Kocaelispor last 20 games and 14 of Gaziantep FK last 20.

How are Kocaelispor playing?

Kocaelispor have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Gaziantep FK playing?

Gaziantep FK have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Kocaelispor and Gaziantep FK last met?

It ended Kocaelispor 3, Gaziantep FK 0. In the last 2 meetings Kocaelispor won 1 and Gaziantep FK won 1.

What is the best bet for Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.