PredictionsSouth AfricaKruger United vs Stellenbosch
South African PremiershipSat 19 Sept, 20:00 South Africa time

Kruger United vs Stellenbosch prediction

Mbombela Stadium

Kruger UnitedHome
0.76 : 1.31
expected goals
StellenboschAway
21%Kruger
30%Draw
49%Stellenbosch
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kruger United vs Stellenbosch is Stellenbosch to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Stellenbosch to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Kruger United 0.8, Stellenbosch 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.182 units

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1
16% chanceFair price 6.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kruger United 21%, the draw 30% and Stellenbosch 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kruger United took 1 point from their last 5 games and Stellenbosch took 6 from 5. Stellenbosch come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kruger United won 0 of their last 3 games at home. Stellenbosch won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kruger United score 0.4 goals a game and let in 2.2. Stellenbosch score 1.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Kruger United games and 6 of Stellenbosch games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Kruger United vs Stellenbosch: Stellenbosch are favourites

The big picture

Kruger United host Stellenbosch in the South African Premiership on Sat 19 Sept, 20:00 at Mbombela Stadium. Our prediction for Kruger United vs Stellenbosch is Stellenbosch to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Kruger United form

Kruger United have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 games, with 2 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Stellenbosch form

Stellenbosch have 6 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 7 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Kruger United to score about 0.8 goals and Stellenbosch about 1.3. That points to Stellenbosch to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 6.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KrugerStellenbosch
Games played520
Wins06
Draws19
Losses45
Goals scored221
Goals conceded1118
Scored per game0.41.1
Conceded per game2.20.9
Home record0W 0D 3L5W 2D 2L
Away record0W 1D 1L1W 7D 3L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored40%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.61
Over 2.5 goals34%2.93
Over 3.5 goals16%6.44
Both teams to score40%2.52
Kruger United or Draw51%1.95
Stellenbosch or Draw79%1.27
Kruger United to win and Over 2.58%11.82
Stellenbosch to win and Over 2.522%4.50
Kruger United clean sheet27%3.70
Stellenbosch clean sheet47%2.14

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-115.8%
0-013.4%
1-113.3%
0-210.8%
1-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kruger United vs Stellenbosch?

Our prediction for Kruger United vs Stellenbosch is Stellenbosch to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Kruger United vs Stellenbosch?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Kruger United to score 0.8 goals and Stellenbosch 1.3.

Will both teams score in Kruger United vs Stellenbosch?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Kruger United last 5 games and 10 of Stellenbosch last 20.

How are Kruger United playing?

Kruger United have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 games, with 2 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Stellenbosch playing?

Stellenbosch have 6 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 7 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Kruger United vs Stellenbosch?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.