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Predictions › Belgian Pro League › KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege
Belgian Pro LeagueSat 12 Sept, 16:15 UTC

KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege prediction

Het Kuipje

KVC WesterloHome
1.43 : 1.72
expected goals
Standard LiegeAway
32%Westerlo
25%Draw
44%Standard Liege
Eagle value pickStandard Liege to win
2.60

Quick answer

Our prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege is Standard Liege to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Standard Liege to win at 2.60.

Prediction
Standard Liege to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
KVC Westerlo 1.4, Standard Liege 1.7
Best bet
Standard Liege to win at 2.60
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Standard Liege +0.5
63% chancePrice 1.531 unit
★

Eagle value pick

Standard Liege to win
44% chancePrice 2.60+14.1% value2 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Standard Liege to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives KVC Westerlo 32%, the draw 25% and Standard Liege 44%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make KVC Westerlo the favourite at 2.50, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    KVC Westerlo took 4 points from their last 5 games and Standard Liege took 11 from 5. Standard Liege come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    KVC Westerlo won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Standard Liege won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    KVC Westerlo score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.7. Standard Liege score 1.6 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of KVC Westerlo games and 11 of Standard Liege games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, KVC Westerlo won 1 and Standard Liege won 2 with 1 draw. The last one ended KVC Westerlo 1, Standard Liege 2.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Standard Liege to win is priced at 2.60. Our fair price is 2.28, so the bookmaker pays about 14.1% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege: Standard Liege shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

KVC Westerlo host Standard Liege in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 12 Sept, 16:15 at Het Kuipje. Our prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege is Standard Liege to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Standard Liege to win at 2.60.

KVC Westerlo form

KVC Westerlo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Standard Liege form

Standard Liege have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. KVC Westerlo won 1, Standard Liege won 2 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished KVC Westerlo 1, Standard Liege 2.

Our call

We expect KVC Westerlo to score about 1.4 goals and Standard Liege about 1.7. That points to Standard Liege to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Standard Liege +0.5 at 1.53. Our value bet is Standard Liege to win at 2.60. Our bold bet is Standard Liege to win and Over 2.5 at 3.24.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WesterloStandard Liege
Games played2020
Wins710
Draws47
Losses93
Goals scored2733
Goals conceded3419
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.70.9
Home record2W 3D 5L3W 4D 3L
Away record5W 1D 4L7W 3D 0L
Clean sheets35%35%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
KVC Westerlo to win32%3.172.50-21.2%
A Draw25%4.063.65-10.1%
Standard Liege to win44%2.282.60+14.1%
Over 2.5 goals60%1.661.57-5.3%
Under 2.5 goals40%2.522.35-6.7%
KVC Westerlo -0.537%2.702.35-13.0%
Standard Liege +0.563%1.591.53-3.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.64
Over 3.5 goals39%2.58
Both teams to score63%1.58
KVC Westerlo or Draw56%1.78
Standard Liege or Draw68%1.46
KVC Westerlo to win and Over 2.522%4.62
Standard Liege to win and Over 2.531%3.24
KVC Westerlo clean sheet18%5.60
Standard Liege clean sheet24%4.19

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
1-29.1%
2-17.5%
0-16.7%
2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

Our prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege is Standard Liege to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Standard Liege to win at 2.60.

What is the score prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect KVC Westerlo to score 1.4 goals and Standard Liege 1.7.

Will both teams score in KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of KVC Westerlo last 20 games and 12 of Standard Liege last 20.

How are KVC Westerlo playing?

KVC Westerlo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Standard Liege playing?

Standard Liege have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege last met?

It ended KVC Westerlo 1, Standard Liege 2. In the last 4 meetings KVC Westerlo won 1 and Standard Liege won 2.

What is the best bet for KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

Standard Liege to win at 2.60, with a 44% chance. That price pays about 14.1% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.