PredictionsArgentina Liga ProfesionalLanús vs Estudiantes de La Plata
Argentina Liga ProfesionalTue 22 Sept, 00:15 UTC

Lanús vs Estudiantes de La Plata prediction

Ciudad de Lanús

LanúsHome
0.86 : 0.62
expected goals
Estudiantes de La PlataAway
38%Lanús
38%Draw
24%Estudiantes
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Lanús vs Estudiantes de La Plata is a draw, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
A draw
Chance
38%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Lanús 0.9, Estudiantes de La Plata 0.6
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
27%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
23% chanceFair price 4.261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Lanús 38%, the draw 38% and Estudiantes de La Plata 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Lanús took 7 points from their last 5 games and Estudiantes de La Plata took 4 from 5. Lanús come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Lanús won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Estudiantes de La Plata won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Lanús score 0.9 goals a game and let in 0.8. Estudiantes de La Plata score 1.1 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Lanús games and 5 of Estudiantes de La Plata games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Lanús won 1 and Estudiantes de La Plata won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Estudiantes de La Plata 0, Lanús 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Lanús vs Estudiantes de La Plata: a draw looks likely

The big picture

Lanús host Estudiantes de La Plata in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Tue 22 Sept, 00:15 at Ciudad de Lanús. Our prediction for Lanús vs Estudiantes de La Plata is a draw, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.23.

Lanús form

Lanús have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Estudiantes de La Plata form

Estudiantes de La Plata have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Lanús won 1, Estudiantes de La Plata won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Estudiantes de La Plata 0, Lanús 1.

Our call

We expect Lanús to score about 0.9 goals and Estudiantes de La Plata about 0.6. That points to a draw, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 4.26.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Lanús Estudiantes
Games played2020
Wins79
Draws52
Losses89
Goals scored1822
Goals conceded1714
Scored per game0.91.1
Conceded per game0.80.7
Home record4W 4D 3L5W 2D 4L
Away record3W 1D 5L4W 0D 5L
Clean sheets50%45%
Both teams scored25%10%
Over 2.5 goals30%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals44%2.26
Over 2.5 goals19%5.36
Over 3.5 goals6%15.79
Both teams to score27%3.64
Lanús or Draw76%1.32
Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw62%1.61
Lanús to win and Over 2.511%9.33
Estudiantes de La Plata to win and Over 2.56%16.10
Lanús clean sheet54%1.87
Estudiantes de La Plata clean sheet42%2.36

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-023.5%
1-018.8%
0-113.4%
1-112.9%
2-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Lanús vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

Our prediction for Lanús vs Estudiantes de La Plata is a draw, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Lanús vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Lanús to score 0.9 goals and Estudiantes de La Plata 0.6.

Will both teams score in Lanús vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

Both teams to score has a 27% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Lanús last 20 games and 2 of Estudiantes de La Plata last 20.

How are Lanús playing?

Lanús have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Estudiantes de La Plata playing?

Estudiantes de La Plata have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Lanús and Estudiantes de La Plata last met?

It ended Estudiantes de La Plata 0, Lanús 1. In the last 1 meeting Lanús won 1 and Estudiantes de La Plata won 0.

What is the best bet for Lanús vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.