Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Chargers to win

76% chancePrice -3951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Los Angeles Chargers 76% and Las Vegas Raiders 24%. The bookmakers agree and make Los Angeles Chargers the favourite at -395.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Los Angeles Chargers won 1 of their last 5 and Las Vegas Raiders won 2 of their last 5. Las Vegas Raiders come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Los Angeles Chargers won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Las Vegas Raiders won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Los Angeles Chargers score 20.3 points a game and let in 20.1. Las Vegas Raiders score 14.2 and let in 25.5. Their recent games average 40.5 and 39.6 points in total, and the market line is 42.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 2 meetings, Los Angeles Chargers won 2 and Las Vegas Raiders won 0. The last one ended Los Angeles Chargers 31, Las Vegas Raiders 14.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Chargers to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Chargers +3.5 wins if Chargers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.