Kenya
Nigeria
Ghana
South Africa
United Kingdom
United States
IndiaPredictions › Ligue 1 › Le Mans vs Lens
Le Mans vs Lens prediction
Sun 13 Sept, 15:15 UTC, Stade Marie-Marvingt
Le Mans1.07 - 1.94
expected goals
LensLe Mans 20%Draw 23%Lens 57%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Over 1.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
Lens to win and Over 2.5
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans to win | 20% | 4.99 | 4.80 | -3.8% |
| A Draw | 23% | 4.32 | 4.20 | -2.8% |
| Lens to win | 57% | 1.76 | 1.67 | -5.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | 1.65 | -4.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | 2.25 | -5.4% |
| Le Mans +0.5 | 43% | 2.32 | 2.20 | -5.0% |
| Lens -0.5 | 57% | 1.76 | 1.61 | -8.8% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.81 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 1.75 |
| Le Mans or Draw | 43% | 2.32 |
| Lens or Draw | 80% | 1.25 |
| Le Mans to win and Over 2.5 | 13% | 7.98 |
| Lens to win and Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.59 |
| Le Mans clean sheet | 14% | 6.94 |
| Lens clean sheet | 34% | 2.93 |
Most likely scores
1-110.9%
1-29.9%
0-29.2%
0-18.9%
1-36.4%
Questions people ask
Who will win Le Mans vs Lens?
Our model gives Le Mans a 20% chance, the draw 23% and Lens 57%.
How many goals will there be in Le Mans vs Lens?
We expect about 3.0 goals (Le Mans 1.07, Lens 1.94). Over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance.
Will both teams score in Le Mans vs Lens?
Both teams to score has a 57% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 10.9% chance, followed by 1-2 and 0-2.