Predictions › Ligue 1 › Le Mans vs Lorient

Ligue 1Sat 19 Sept, 18:45 UTC

Le Mans vs Lorient prediction

Stade Marie-Marvingt

Le MansHome

1.29 : 1.43

expected goals

LorientAway

33%Le Mans

27%Draw

40%Lorient

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Le Mans vs Lorient is Lorient to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction: Lorient to win
Chance: 40%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Le Mans 1.3, Lorient 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score: 56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1.312 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Le Mans 33%, the draw 27% and Lorient 40%. The bookmakers agree and make Lorient the favourite at 2.35.
2
Recent form
Le Mans took 2 points from their last 3 games and Lorient took 7 from 5. Lorient come in with the better run.
3
Goals
Le Mans score 1.7 goals a game and let in 2.0. Lorient score 1.5 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Le Mans games and 9 of Lorient games in that run.
4
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Le Mans vs Lorient: Lorient shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Le Mans host Lorient in the Ligue 1 on Sat 19 Sept, 18:45 at Stade Marie-Marvingt. Our prediction for Le Mans vs Lorient is Lorient to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Le Mans form

Le Mans have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 3 games, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 1. Their last 3 results read D, L, D, newest first.

Lorient form

Lorient have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Le Mans to score about 1.3 goals and Lorient about 1.4. That points to Lorient to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.77.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Le Mans	Lorient
Games played	3	20
Wins	0	8
Draws	2	6
Losses	1	6
Goals scored	5	30
Goals conceded	6	24
Scored per game	1.7	1.5
Conceded per game	2.0	1.2
Home record	0W 1D 0L	4W 2D 3L
Away record	0W 1D 1L	4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets	0%	30%
Both teams scored	100%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	67%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Le Mans to win	33%	3.01	2.80	-7.1%
A Draw	27%	3.69	3.50	-5.3%
Lorient to win	40%	2.52	2.35	-6.6%
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.95	1.80	-7.5%
Under 2.5 goals	49%	2.06	1.91	-7.2%
Le Mans +0.5	59%	1.68	1.53	-9.3%
Lorient -0.5	41%	2.46	2.20	-10.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	76%	1.31
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.95
Over 3.5 goals	29%	3.43
Both teams to score	56%	1.79
Le Mans or Draw	60%	1.66
Lorient or Draw	67%	1.50
Le Mans to win and Over 2.5	20%	5.01
Lorient to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.11
Le Mans clean sheet	24%	4.19
Lorient clean sheet	28%	3.63

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%

1-28.7%

0-18.7%

2-17.8%

1-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Le Mans vs Lorient?

Our prediction for Le Mans vs Lorient is Lorient to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Le Mans vs Lorient?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Le Mans to score 1.3 goals and Lorient 1.4.

Will both teams score in Le Mans vs Lorient?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 3 of Le Mans last 3 games and 10 of Lorient last 20.

How are Le Mans playing?

How are Lorient playing?

What is the best bet for Le Mans vs Lorient?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.