PredictionsEuropa LeagueLevski Sofia vs RB Salzburg
Europa LeagueThu 17 Sept, 16:45 UTC

Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg prediction

Vasil Levski National Stadium

Levski SofiaHome
1.42 : 1.58
expected goals
RB SalzburgAway
34%Levski Sofia
26%Draw
41%RB Salzburg
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
RB Salzburg to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Levski Sofia 1.4, RB Salzburg 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units

Eagle bold pick

RB Salzburg to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Levski Sofia 34%, the draw 26% and RB Salzburg 41%. The bookmakers agree and make RB Salzburg the favourite at 2.35.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg: RB Salzburg shade it

The big picture

Levski Sofia host RB Salzburg in the Europa League on Thu 17 Sept, 16:45 at Vasil Levski National Stadium. Our prediction for Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Levski Sofia form

Levski Sofia have no recent games in our records yet.

RB Salzburg form

RB Salzburg have 2 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in their last 8 games, with 10 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Levski Sofia to score about 1.4 goals and RB Salzburg about 1.6. That points to RB Salzburg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is RB Salzburg to win and Over 2.5 at 3.66.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 8 games in all competitions.

Levski SofiaRB Salzburg
Games playedn/a8
Winsn/a2
Drawsn/a0
Lossesn/a6
Goals scoredn/a10
Goals concededn/a15
Scored per gamen/a1.3
Conceded per gamen/a1.9
Home recordn/a2W 0D 2L
Away recordn/a0W 0D 4L
Clean sheetsn/a13%
Both teams scoredn/a50%
Over 2.5 goalsn/a50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Levski Sofia to win34%2.972.85-3.9%
A Draw26%3.913.60-8.0%
RB Salzburg to win41%2.452.35-4.3%
Over 2.5 goals58%1.741.63-6.5%
Under 2.5 goals42%2.362.20-6.6%
Levski Sofia +0.559%1.711.57-7.9%
RB Salzburg -0.541%2.422.20-9.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.73
Over 3.5 goals35%2.83
Both teams to score61%1.64
Levski Sofia or Draw59%1.69
RB Salzburg or Draw66%1.51
Levski Sofia to win and Over 2.522%4.49
RB Salzburg to win and Over 2.527%3.66
Levski Sofia clean sheet21%4.85
RB Salzburg clean sheet24%4.14

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
1-28.8%
2-17.9%
0-17.2%
1-06.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg?

Our prediction for Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Levski Sofia to score 1.4 goals and RB Salzburg 1.6.

Will both teams score in Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance.

How are RB Salzburg playing?

RB Salzburg have 2 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in their last 8 games, with 10 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.