PredictionsUnited KingdomLeyton Orient vs Stevenage
League OneSat 19 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Leyton Orient vs Stevenage prediction

Gaughan Group Stadium

Leyton OrientHome
1.21 : 1.33
expected goals
StevenageAway
33%Leyton Orient
28%Draw
39%Stevenage
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Leyton Orient vs Stevenage is Stevenage to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Stevenage to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Leyton Orient 1.2, Stevenage 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/31 unit

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Leyton Orient 33%, the draw 28% and Stevenage 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Leyton Orient took 5 points from their last 5 games and Stevenage took 8 from 5. Stevenage come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Leyton Orient won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Stevenage won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Leyton Orient score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Stevenage score 1.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Leyton Orient games and 8 of Stevenage games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Leyton Orient won 1 and Stevenage won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Stevenage 1, Leyton Orient 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Leyton Orient vs Stevenage: Stevenage shade it

The big picture

Leyton Orient host Stevenage in the League One on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 at Gaughan Group Stadium. Our prediction for Leyton Orient vs Stevenage is Stevenage to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Leyton Orient form

Leyton Orient have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Stevenage form

Stevenage have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Leyton Orient won 1, Stevenage won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Stevenage 1, Leyton Orient 2.

Our call

We expect Leyton Orient to score about 1.2 goals and Stevenage about 1.3. That points to Stevenage to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Leyton OrientStevenage
Games played2020
Wins78
Draws66
Losses76
Goals scored2722
Goals conceded2223
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record3W 2D 5L5W 2D 3L
Away record4W 4D 2L3W 4D 3L
Clean sheets40%35%
Both teams scored50%45%
Over 2.5 goals50%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%4/11
Over 2.5 goals47%11/10
Over 3.5 goals25%3/1
Both teams to score52%10/11
Leyton Orient or Draw61%8/13
Stevenage or Draw67%1/2
Leyton Orient to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Stevenage to win and Over 2.522%7/2
Leyton Orient clean sheet26%11/4
Stevenage clean sheet30%12/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
0-19.8%
1-08.8%
0-08.7%
1-28.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?

Our prediction for Leyton Orient vs Stevenage is Stevenage to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Leyton Orient to score 1.2 goals and Stevenage 1.3.

Will both teams score in Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Leyton Orient last 20 games and 9 of Stevenage last 20.

How are Leyton Orient playing?

Leyton Orient have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Stevenage playing?

Stevenage have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Leyton Orient and Stevenage last met?

It ended Stevenage 1, Leyton Orient 2. In the last 2 meetings Leyton Orient won 1 and Stevenage won 1.

What is the best bet for Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.