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Predictions › United Kingdom › Lincoln City vs Swansea City
ChampionshipSat 19 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Lincoln City vs Swansea City prediction

LNER Stadium

Lincoln CityHome
1.15 : 1.38
expected goals
Swansea CityAway
30%Lincoln City
28%Draw
42%Swansea
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Lincoln City vs Swansea City is Swansea City to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Swansea City to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Lincoln City 1.1, Swansea City 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Lincoln City 30%, the draw 28% and Swansea City 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Lincoln City took 8 points from their last 5 games and Swansea City took 8 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Lincoln City won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Swansea City won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Lincoln City score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.1. Swansea City score 1.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Lincoln City games and 11 of Swansea City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Lincoln City vs Swansea City: Swansea City shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Lincoln City host Swansea City in the Championship on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 at LNER Stadium. Our prediction for Lincoln City vs Swansea City is Swansea City to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Lincoln City form

Lincoln City have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Swansea City form

Swansea City have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Lincoln City to score about 1.1 goals and Swansea City about 1.4. That points to Swansea City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Lincoln CitySwansea
Games played2020
Wins138
Draws46
Losses36
Goals scored3626
Goals conceded2225
Scored per game1.81.3
Conceded per game1.11.3
Home record5W 2D 1L3W 4D 3L
Away record8W 2D 2L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets40%30%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%4/11
Over 2.5 goals46%6/5
Over 3.5 goals25%3/1
Both teams to score52%10/11
Lincoln City or Draw58%8/11
Swansea City or Draw70%4/9
Lincoln City to win and Over 2.517%5/1
Swansea City to win and Over 2.524%10/3
Lincoln City clean sheet25%3/1
Swansea City clean sheet32%85/40

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
0-110.2%
1-28.7%
0-08.7%
1-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Lincoln City vs Swansea City?

Our prediction for Lincoln City vs Swansea City is Swansea City to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Lincoln City vs Swansea City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Lincoln City to score 1.1 goals and Swansea City 1.4.

Will both teams score in Lincoln City vs Swansea City?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Lincoln City last 20 games and 10 of Swansea City last 20.

How are Lincoln City playing?

Lincoln City have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Swansea City playing?

Swansea City have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Lincoln City vs Swansea City?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.